Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Bonzi vs Pellegrino: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi93%
Andrea Pellegrino7%
Elo: B. Bonzi 87% · A. Pellegrino 13%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 B. Bonzi76%
2:1 B. Bonzi16%
2:1 A. Pellegrino3%
2:0 A. Pellegrino5%
First set
Benjamin Bonzi84%
Andrea Pellegrino16%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes19%
no81%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 84% | 16% | 94% |
| 16.5 | 74% | 26% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 64% | 36% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 54% | 46% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 44% | 56% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 36% | 64% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 31% | 69% | 49% |
Sample: 1,376 matches
Games handicap
B. Bonzi −5.556%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Bonzi | Tour | A. Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.31 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 19/33 | 9/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 48% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 57 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Benjamin Bonzi
- 03/11/26LTaylor Fritz#12ATP Paris · R646:3 3:6 4:6
- 01/11/26WYannick Hanfmann#58ATP Paris · Q27:5 3:6 6:4
- 31/10/26WTallon Griekspoor#50ATP Paris · Q16:3 6:7 6:3
- 21/10/26LTommy Paul#14ATP Lyon · R164:6 7:6 3:6
- 20/10/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Lyon · R326:3 3:6 6:3
- 14/10/26LMika Brunold#184Challenger Roanne · R162:6 6:2 4:6
- 12/10/26WHugo Grenier#394Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:1 6:3
- 28/09/26LAugust Holmgren#267Challenger Porto 2 · R323:6 4:6
- 05/09/26LKaren Khachanov#25ATP US Open · R323:6 2:6 4:6
- 03/09/26WIgnacio Buse#33ATP US Open · R646:2 7:6 6:0
Andrea Pellegrino
- 23/10/26LSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Lisbon · QF5:7 0:6
- 20/10/26WPol Martin Tiffon#210Challenger Lisbon · R321:3
- 13/10/26LLorenzo Giustino#272Challenger Maia · R324:6 6:2 1:6
- 07/10/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Braga · R323:6 6:3 1:6
- 09/09/26LValerio Aboian#258Challenger Genoa · R163:6 2:6
- 08/09/26WMika Petkovic#387Challenger Genoa · R327:6 6:4
- 25/08/26LColton Smith#218ATP US Open · Q16:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LZizou Bergs#40Challenger Quebec City · R163:6 2:6
- 18/08/26WNishesh Basavareddy#128Challenger Quebec City · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 30/07/26LThiago Monteiro#233Challenger San Marino · R163:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Benjamin BonziAndrea Pellegrino
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Bonzi | A. Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–1960% | 1–420% |
| Clay | 4–640% | 29–2158% |
| Grass | 6–367% | 1–150% |
Head to head
B. Bonzi 0–1 A. Pellegrino
- 13/05/22Winner: A. Pellegrino6:3 3:6 4:6
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