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ATP ParisMasters 1000Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Bonzi vs Hanfmann 2:1: result and our tips

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Benjamin BonziATP #95Elo 1928hard 1897
2:1final7:5 3:6 6:4
Yannick HanfmannATP #58Elo 1945hard 1898

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 22.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 52% → with the players' profiles 59%

Bonzi: 5 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Bonzi 14 of 20, Hanfmann 10 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won43%

Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 43%

Bonzi: 5 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Benjamin Bonzi54%
Yannick Hanfmann46%

Elo: B. Bonzi 50% · Y. Hanfmann 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Bonzi33%
2:1 B. Bonzi20%
2:1 Y. Hanfmann20%
2:0 Y. Hanfmann27%

First set

Benjamin Bonzi53%
Yannick Hanfmann47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.572%28%60%
21.565%35%54%
22.559%41%46%
23.551%50%40%
24.545%55%38%
25.543%57%35%
26.539%62%30%

Sample: 5,522 matches

Games handicap

B. Bonzi −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes52%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 23.5in · 31 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Benjamin BonziYannick Hanfmann
16Aces11
1Double faults1
72%First serves in72%
82%First-serve points won75%
52%Second-serve points won55%
2/3Break points converted2/3
14/16Service games held13/15
74%Service points won70%
30%Return points won27%
85Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. BonziTourY. Hanfmann
Service points won65%62%67%
Return points won36%38%35%
Service games held82%76%84%
Breaks of serve21%24%18%
Aces per service game0.480.71
Double faults per game0.190.18
Sets with a tie-break20%28%
Tie-breaks won19/3324/41
Wins in straight sets60%62%
Matches in the sample6460

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Benjamin Bonzi

Yannick Hanfmann

Elo over the last year

Benjamin BonziYannick Hanfmann

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. BonziY. Hanfmann
Hard court27–1860%16–1355%
Clay4–640%14–961%
Grass6–367%4–450%

Head to head

B. Bonzi 0–1 Y. Hanfmann

  • 03/08/26Winner: Y. Hanfmann1:6 6:4 2:6

Road through the tournament

Benjamin Bonzi

Yannick Hanfmann

Upcoming matches

See also