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ATP ParisMasters 1000Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Balshaw vs Hanfmann 0:2: result and our tips

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Felix BalshawATP #180Elo 1764hard 1746
0:2final6:7(3) 3:6
Yannick HanfmannATP #58Elo 1938hard 1889

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: market alone 63% → with the players' profiles 69%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Balshaw 16 of 20, Hanfmann 13 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Balshaw 13 of 20, Hanfmann 8 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Felix Balshaw40%
Yannick Hanfmann60%

Elo: F. Balshaw 31% · Y. Hanfmann 70%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Balshaw23%
2:1 F. Balshaw18%
2:1 Y. Hanfmann21%
2:0 Y. Hanfmann38%

First set

Felix Balshaw43%
Yannick Hanfmann57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.569%31%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.556%44%46%
23.548%52%40%
24.543%57%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.537%63%30%

Sample: 6,002 matches

Games handicap

Y. Hanfmann −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes48%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Felix BalshawYannick Hanfmann
11Aces4
3Double faults1
56%First serves in67%
77%First-serve points won83%
52%Second-serve points won75%
0/0Break points converted1/7
9/10Service games held11/11
66%Service points won80%
20%Return points won34%
58Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. BalshawTourY. Hanfmann
Service points won65%62%67%
Return points won39%38%35%
Service games held81%76%84%
Breaks of serve24%24%18%
Aces per service game0.660.71
Double faults per game0.270.18
Sets with a tie-break19%27%
Tie-breaks won15/2423/40
Wins in straight sets53%62%
Matches in the sample5060

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Felix Balshaw

Yannick Hanfmann

Elo over the last year

Felix BalshawYannick Hanfmann

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. BalshawY. Hanfmann
Hard court19–1261%16–1355%
Clay13–668%14–961%
Grass0–04–450%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also