Cadenasso vs Wehnelt 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 72% → with the players' profiles 67%
Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Cadenasso 15 of 20, Wehnelt 15 of 20 (tour average 68%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 43% → with the players' profiles 40%
Cadenasso: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: G. Cadenasso 62% · K. Wehnelt 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
Sample: 3,578 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 21.0out · 32 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 6 |
| 5 | Double faults | 8 |
| 65% | First serves in | 60% |
| 74% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 53% |
| 4/7 | Break points converted | 2/2 |
| 14/16 | Service games held | 11/15 |
| 65% | Service points won | 64% |
| 37% | Return points won | 35% |
| 101 | Total points won | 97 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Cadenasso | Tour | K. Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | 0.46 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/8 | 3/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 40 | 25 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 07/10/26LMassimo Giunta#390Challenger Palermo · R166:7 5:7
- 06/10/26WFilippo Moroni#856Challenger Palermo · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/10/26LVitaliy Sachko#172Challenger Bari · QF6:4 2:6 0:3
- 30/09/26WLorenzo Angelini#556Challenger Bari · R165:7 6:3 6:0
- 29/09/26WBenito Sanchez Martinez#906Challenger Bari · R326:3 6:1
- 22/09/26LM. W. Donald#418Challenger Genoa 2 · R323:6 6:4 5:7
- 15/09/26LFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Biella · R321:6 5:7
- 22/06/26LFederico Cina#147ATP Wimbledon · Q13:6 2:6
- 01/06/26LDaniel Merida#44Challenger Perugia · R322:6
- 20/05/26LLeandro Riedi#250ATP French Open · Q37:6 4:6 5:7
Kai Wehnelt
- 12/10/26WAlex Marti Pujolras#499Challenger Catania · Q26:3 6:4
- 11/10/26WLorenzo Angelini#556Challenger Catania · Q16:2 6:0
- 27/09/26LPierluigi Basile#521Challenger Bari · Q17:5 4:6 6:7
- 20/09/26LLuca Wiedenmann#537Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q14:6 0:4
- 15/09/26LKilian Feldbausch#270Challenger Szczecin · R322:6 2:6
- 14/09/26WMichael Vrbensky#754Challenger Szczecin · Q27:5 6:2
- 13/09/26WMarcel Zielinski#582Challenger Szczecin · Q16:7 6:2 6:2
- 06/09/26LMika Brunold#261Challenger Tulln · Q16:7 3:6
- 26/08/26LFacundo Mena#197Challenger Augsburg · R166:7 5:7
- 25/08/26WNick Hardt#281Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 6:3 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Cadenasso | K. Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 0–10% |
| Clay | 21–1854% | 14–1058% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Gianluca Cadenasso
First match in this tournament.
Kai Wehnelt
- 11/10/26WLorenzo Angelini#556Challenger Catania · Q16:2 6:0
- 12/10/26WAlex Marti Pujolras#499Challenger Catania · Q26:3 6:4