Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying
Castelnuovo vs Peliwo 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Luca Castelnuovo79%
Filip Peliwo21%
Elo: L. Castelnuovo 51% · F. Peliwo 49%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Castelnuovo57%
2:1 L. Castelnuovo22%
2:1 F. Peliwo10%
2:0 F. Peliwo12%
First set
Luca Castelnuovo73%
Filip Peliwo27%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%
Total games
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 65% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 32% | 68% | 35% |
Sample: 3,211 matches
Games handicap
L. Castelnuovo −4.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Under 21.5in · 20 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Luca Castelnuovo | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 0 |
| 3 | Double faults | 1 |
| 68% | First serves in | 70% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 36% | Second-serve points won | 41% |
| 2/4 | Break points converted | 5/12 |
| 5/10 | Service games held | 7/9 |
| 51% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 49% |
| 62 | Total points won | 74 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Castelnuovo | Tour | F. Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.74 | 0.33 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/13 | 6/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 70% | |
| Matches in the sample | 34 | 28 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luca Castelnuovo
- 25/10/26WYusuke Kusuhara#856Challenger Ningbo · Q16:2 6:4
- 20/10/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#416Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 6:7
- 19/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:3 6:4
- 18/10/26WEgor Pleshivtsev#783Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q17:6 6:4
- 05/10/26LAkira Santillan#294Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 6:3 6:7
- 22/09/26LPavel Kotov#169ATP Chengdu · Q17:6 5:7 5:7
- 16/09/26LElias Ymer#227Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:7 4:6
- 15/09/26WOmar Jasika#386Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:7 6:2 1:0
- 12/09/26LIlya Ivashka#220Challenger Shanghai · SF3:6 4:6
- 11/09/26WJi Sung Nam#821Challenger Shanghai · QF6:4 6:4
Filip Peliwo
- 25/10/26WSaba Purtseladze#571Challenger Ningbo · Q16:2 6:3
- 07/10/26LTimofei Derepasko#615Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 6:7
- 06/10/26WMax Purcell#616Challenger Wuning 3 · R327:6 6:1
- 28/09/26LMattia Bellucci#66Challenger Jingshan · Q12:6 4:6
- 17/09/26LMoise Kouame#176Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R161:6 2:4
- 15/09/26WTai Leonard Sach#512Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 6:3 6:4
- 14/09/26WSam Ryan Ziegann#817Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:1 6:4
- 13/09/26WArjun RathiChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:3 6:4
- 11/09/26LArthur Weber#398Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF6:7 2:6
- 10/09/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R167:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Luca CastelnuovoFilip Peliwo
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Castelnuovo | F. Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–1448% | 10–1737% |
| Clay | 1–325% | 0–10% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 0–0 |
Head to head
L. Castelnuovo 0–1 F. Peliwo
- 31/08/25Winner: F. Peliwo6:7 3:6
Road through the tournament
Luca Castelnuovo
- 25/10/26WYusuke Kusuhara#856Challenger Ningbo · Q16:2 6:4
Filip Peliwo
- 25/10/26WSaba Purtseladze#571Challenger Ningbo · Q16:2 6:3