WTA WuhanWTA 1000Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Chwalińska vs Sakkari: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 12h 22mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Maja Chwalińska43%
Maria Sakkari57%
Elo: M. Chwalińska 44% · M. Sakkari 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Chwalińska28%
2:1 M. Chwalińska18%
2:1 M. Sakkari20%
2:0 M. Sakkari34%
First set
Maja Chwalińska47%
Maria Sakkari53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,397 matches
Games handicap
Maria Sakkari −1.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 23%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Chwalińska | Tour | M. Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 50% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 66% | 63% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 50% | 37% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.08 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/11 | 4/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maja Chwalińska
- 15/10/26WIva Jovic#11WTA Wuhan · R166:4 6:1
- 14/10/26WMarie Bouzková#28WTA Wuhan · R321:6 6:1 6:1
- 13/10/26WMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:2
- 02/10/26LDayana Yastremska#103WTA Beijing · R643:6 1:6
- 26/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#25WTA Singapore · SF6:1 4:6 2:6
- 25/09/26WElise Mertens#14WTA Singapore · QF6:2 6:2
- 23/09/26WOleksandra Oliynykova#51WTA Singapore · R166:0 6:1
- 21/09/26WRebecca Sramkova#134WTA Singapore · R326:4 6:2
- 31/08/26LTaylor Townsend#89WTA US Open · R1282:6 3:6
- 27/08/26LAlycia Parks#64WTA Monterrey · R166:3 2:6 2:6
Maria Sakkari
- 15/10/26WMia Pohankova#202WTA Wuhan · R166:1 6:4
- 13/10/26WMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Wuhan · R324:6 6:2 6:2
- 12/10/26WDonna Vekic#36WTA Wuhan · R646:4 6:2
- 05/10/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · R324:6 5:7
- 03/10/26WStorm Hunter#150WTA Beijing · R646:2 6:2
- 25/09/26LTalia Gibson#41WTA Singapore · QF1:6 6:4 2:6
- 24/09/26WNao Hibino#196WTA Singapore · R167:5 6:1
- 22/09/26WLinda Fruhvirtova#157WTA Singapore · R326:4 6:1
- 03/09/26LYuliia Starodubtseva#44WTA US Open · R646:1 6:7 2:6
- 01/09/26WRobin Montgomery#153WTA US Open · R1282:6 7:5 6:2
Elo over the last year
Maja ChwalińskaMaria Sakkari
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Chwalińska | M. Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1063% | 21–1264% |
| Clay | 21–872% | 3–538% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 2–340% |
Head to head
M. Chwalińska 1–1 M. Sakkari
- 30/05/26Winner: Maja Chwalińska1:6 6:3 6:2
- 06/05/25Winner: Maria Sakkari6:3 3:6 1:6
Road through the tournament
Maja Chwalińska
- 13/10/26WMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:2
- 14/10/26WMarie Bouzková#28WTA Wuhan · R321:6 6:1 6:1
- 15/10/26WIva Jovic#11WTA Wuhan · R166:4 6:1
Maria Sakkari
- 12/10/26WDonna Vekic#36WTA Wuhan · R646:4 6:2
- 13/10/26WMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Wuhan · R324:6 6:2 6:2
- 15/10/26WMia Pohankova#202WTA Wuhan · R166:1 6:4