Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Cigarran vs Kicker: prediction and tips

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Thiago CigarranATP #622Elo 1515clay 1521
-:-awaiting result
Nicolas KickerATP #351Elo 1666clay 1674

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.567%

Where the number comes from: market alone 76% → with the players' profiles 67%

Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Cigarran 19 of 20, Kicker 16 of 20 (tour average 76%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Kicker79%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kicker won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Cigarran21%
Nicolas Kicker79%

Elo: T. Cigarran 29% · N. Kicker 71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Cigarran11%
2:1 T. Cigarran10%
2:1 N. Kicker22%
2:0 N. Kicker56%

First set

Thiago Cigarran28%
Nicolas Kicker72%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%84%
17.566%34%76%
18.556%44%68%
19.550%51%59%
20.545%55%52%
21.538%62%47%
22.534%66%40%

Sample: 2,527 matches

Games handicap

Nicolas Kicker −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. CigarranTourN. Kicker
Service points won58%62%60%
Return points won42%38%42%
Service games held69%76%72%
Breaks of serve31%24%33%
Aces per service game0.210.14
Double faults per game0.280.19
Sets with a tie-break9%4%
Tie-breaks won3/91/5
Wins in straight sets57%70%
Matches in the sample4158

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Cigarran

  • 12/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 11/10/26WBoris AriasChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:2 3:6 6:4
  • 06/10/26LMiguel Tobon#506Challenger Antofagasta · R326:4 4:6 1:6
  • 05/10/26WNicolas Kicker#351Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 3:0
  • 04/10/26WAnders MattaChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:2 6:2
  • 21/09/26LTomas Martinez#790Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q21:6 0:4
  • 20/09/26WSantiago PesinoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 7:5
  • 06/09/26LTiago Pereira#339Challenger Seville · Q13:6 6:2 6:7
  • 18/08/26LLorenzo Giustino#216Challenger Sion · R324:6 3:6
  • 17/08/26WLuca Wiedenmann#537Challenger Sion · Q22:6 6:4 6:3

Nicolas Kicker

  • 05/10/26LThiago Cigarran#622Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 0:3
  • 04/10/26WMilledge CossuChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 6:4
  • 25/09/26LFacundo Mena#197Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF4:6 4:6
  • 23/09/26WHugo Dellien#128Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 7:5 6:0
  • 22/09/26WTomas Martinez#790Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R321:6 6:2 6:0
  • 16/08/26LMaxim Mrva#217Challenger Todi · F2:6 2:6
  • 15/08/26WMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Todi · SF6:4 4:6 6:2
  • 14/08/26WFrancesco Passaro#229Challenger Todi · QF6:4 6:1
  • 13/08/26WThomas Faurel#328Challenger Todi · R166:4 6:4
  • 11/08/26WStefano Travaglia#173Challenger Todi · R320:6 6:4 4:0

Elo over the last year

Thiago CigarranNicolas Kicker

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. CigarranN. Kicker
Hard court0–01–150%
Clay21–2051%29–2752%

Head to head

T. Cigarran 2–0 N. Kicker

  • 05/10/26Winner: Thiago Cigarran6:3 3:0
  • 18/03/26Winner: Thiago Cigarran5:7 6:2 6:4

Road through the tournament

Thiago Cigarran

Nicolas Kicker

First match in this tournament.