ATP Almaty250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Cilic vs Basilashvili 0:2: result and our tips

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Marin CilicATP #84Elo 1908hard 1881
0:2final2:6 5:7
Nikoloz BasilashviliATP #128Elo 1860hard 1839

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 63%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Cilic 13 of 20, Basilashvili 15 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: BasilashviliWon56%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Cilic lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Basilashvili won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Marin Cilic41%
Nikoloz Basilashvili59%

Elo: M. Cilic 56% · N. Basilashvili 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Cilic23%
2:1 M. Cilic19%
2:1 N. Basilashvili21%
2:0 N. Basilashvili37%

First set

Marin Cilic44%
Nikoloz Basilashvili56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.570%30%60%
21.563%37%54%
22.557%43%46%
23.549%51%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.542%58%35%
26.537%63%30%

Sample: 5,864 matches

Games handicap

Nikoloz Basilashvili −2.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes49%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Marin CilicNikoloz Basilashvili
8Aces13
5Double faults3
54%First serves in56%
69%First-serve points won78%
37%Second-serve points won48%
2/5Break points converted5/9
5/10Service games held8/10
54%Service points won65%
35%Return points won46%
55Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. CilicTourN. Basilashvili
Service points won65%62%64%
Return points won35%38%36%
Service games held82%76%79%
Breaks of serve18%24%21%
Aces per service game0.750.61
Double faults per game0.270.39
Sets with a tie-break21%21%
Tie-breaks won8/1912/27
Wins in straight sets68%68%
Matches in the sample3858

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marin Cilic

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Elo over the last year

Marin CilicNikoloz Basilashvili

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. CilicN. Basilashvili
Hard court14–1254%14–1548%
Clay3–443%12–1250%
Grass2–340%2–340%

Head to head

M. Cilic 2–0 N. Basilashvili

  • 01/10/25Winner: Marin Cilic6:3 7:6
  • 10/06/21Winner: Marin Cilic6:3 6:2

Road through the tournament

Marin Cilic

First match in this tournament.

Nikoloz Basilashvili