WTA 125 MallorcaQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Curmi vs Yaneva: prediction and tips

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Francesca CurmiWTA #233Elo 1684clay 1684
-:-
Elizara YanevaWTA #146Elo 1645clay 1639

Our tips

Tip in 1d 5h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Francesca Curmi45%
Elizara Yaneva55%

Elo: F. Curmi 56% · E. Yaneva 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Curmi27%
2:1 F. Curmi18%
2:1 E. Yaneva21%
2:0 E. Yaneva34%

First set

Francesca Curmi48%
Elizara Yaneva52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,468 matches

Games handicap

Elizara Yaneva −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. CurmiTourE. Yaneva
Service points won55%56%53%
Return points won46%44%48%
Service games held64%63%54%
Breaks of serve41%37%47%
Aces per service game0.120.15
Double faults per game0.220.37
Sets with a tie-break8%12%
Tie-breaks won1/24/7
Wins in straight sets57%50%
Matches in the sample1125

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francesca Curmi

Elizara Yaneva

Elo over the last year

Francesca CurmiElizara Yaneva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. CurmiE. Yaneva
Hard court0–03–260%
Clay7–464%10–856%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Francesca Curmi

Elizara Yaneva