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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Daniel vs Ilagan 2:0: result and our tips

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Taro DanielATP #177Elo 1797hard 1721
2:0final6:3 6:1
Andre IlaganATP #199Elo 1719hard 1705

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: DanielWon57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Daniel won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Ilagan lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.5Lost67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Daniel 13 of 20, Ilagan 15 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Taro Daniel59%
Andre Ilagan41%

Elo: T. Daniel 52% · A. Ilagan 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Daniel38%
2:1 T. Daniel21%
2:1 A. Ilagan17%
2:0 A. Ilagan24%

First set

Taro Daniel57%
Andre Ilagan43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,962 matches

Games handicap

T. Daniel −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Taro DanielAndre Ilagan
8Aces2
2Double faults3
63%First serves in60%
80%First-serve points won54%
67%Second-serve points won44%
4/12Break points converted0/3
8/8Service games held4/8
75%Service points won50%
50%Return points won25%
67Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. DanielTourA. Ilagan
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held79%76%78%
Breaks of serve30%24%24%
Aces per service game0.340.40
Double faults per game0.130.20
Sets with a tie-break14%24%
Tie-breaks won10/1916/38
Wins in straight sets69%55%
Matches in the sample6068

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Taro Daniel

Andre Ilagan

Elo over the last year

Taro DanielAndre Ilagan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. DanielA. Ilagan
Hard court18–1555%32–2853%
Clay21–678%3–175%
Grass0–03–175%

Head to head

They have not met yet.