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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Delaney vs Binda 2:1: result and our tips

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Jake DelaneyATP #356Elo 1464hard 1462
2:1final6:4 4:6 6:4
Alexander BindaATP #466Elo 1570hard 1561

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jake Delaney54%
Alexander Binda46%

Elo: J. Delaney 36% · A. Binda 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Delaney34%
2:1 J. Delaney20%
2:1 A. Binda18%
2:0 A. Binda28%

First set

Jake Delaney53%
Alexander Binda47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.541%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,482 matches

Games handicap

J. Delaney −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jake DelaneyAlexander Binda
15Aces10
0Double faults2
67%First serves in62%
80%First-serve points won73%
67%Second-serve points won60%
2/7Break points converted1/5
14/15Service games held13/15
75%Service points won68%
32%Return points won25%
92Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. DelaneyTourA. Binda
Service points won64%62%60%
Return points won33%38%40%
Service games held81%76%71%
Breaks of serve16%24%29%
Aces per service game0.670.35
Double faults per game0.280.30
Sets with a tie-break22%12%
Tie-breaks won7/195/12
Wins in straight sets53%77%
Matches in the sample3845

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jake Delaney

  • 19/10/26LColeman Wong#87Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 6:7
  • 13/10/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 2:6
  • 11/10/26WAjeet RaiChallenger Jinan · Q14:3
  • 22/09/26LTaro Daniel#177ATP Hangzhou · Q13:6 4:6
  • 17/09/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R163:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26WHikaru Shiraishi#594Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R324:6 6:3 6:4
  • 09/09/26LPavel Kotov#169Challenger Shanghai · R166:7 6:7
  • 07/09/26WHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Shanghai · R322:6 7:6 7:6
  • 01/09/26LKoki Matsuda#463Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:7 6:7
  • 03/05/26LAlafia Ayeni#437Challenger Wuxi · Q16:7 2:6

Alexander Binda

  • 26/10/26WMillen Hurrion#502Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 6:3 6:4
  • 25/10/26WJia HuChallenger Ningbo · Q16:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26LYaroslav Demin#596Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q13:6 6:7
  • 29/09/26LAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · Q21:6 0:6
  • 28/09/26WSidharth Rawat#656Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:3
  • 18/09/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF3:6 4:6
  • 17/09/26WFajing Sun#292Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R164:6 7:6 6:4
  • 15/09/26WAoran WangChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:4
  • 14/09/26WKosuke Ogura#794Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 4:6 6:4
  • 13/09/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q17:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Jake DelaneyAlexander Binda

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. DelaneyA. Binda
Hard court14–2041%19–2049%
Clay1–325%3–350%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jake Delaney

First match in this tournament.

Alexander Binda