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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Dellavedova vs Fancutt 2:1: result and our tips

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Matthew DellavedovaATP #224Elo 1441hard 1428
2:1final6:1 6:7(7) 7:6(5)
Thomas FancuttATP #690Elo 1501hard 1483

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 73% → with the players' profiles 71%

No tie-break in recent matches: Dellavedova 19 of 20, Fancutt 15 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Lost33%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 33%

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Dellavedova 12 of 20, Fancutt 4 of 20 (tour average 29%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matthew Dellavedova81%
Thomas Fancutt19%

Elo: M. Dellavedova 42% · T. Fancutt 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Dellavedova61%
2:1 M. Dellavedova21%
2:1 T. Fancutt9%
2:0 T. Fancutt10%

First set

Matthew Dellavedova75%
Thomas Fancutt25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%79%
18.569%31%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 2,823 matches

Games handicap

M. Dellavedova −4.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 33 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Matthew DellavedovaThomas Fancutt
6Aces11
1Double faults4
77%First serves in59%
71%First-serve points won80%
71%Second-serve points won47%
3/3Break points converted1/4
15/16Service games held12/15
71%Service points won67%
33%Return points won29%
103Total points won88

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. DellavedovaTourT. Fancutt
Service points won59%62%64%
Return points won36%38%36%
Service games held68%76%78%
Breaks of serve22%24%20%
Aces per service game0.280.60
Double faults per game0.120.33
Sets with a tie-break2%10%
Tie-breaks won0/14/5
Wins in straight sets50%55%
Matches in the sample2422

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matthew Dellavedova

  • 29/09/26LAndre Ilagan#196Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 3:6
  • 22/09/26LFajing Sun#297ATP Hangzhou · Q16:3 1:6 6:7
  • 18/09/26LHunter Heck#601Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · QF4:6 2:6
  • 16/09/26WEnzo Aguiard#423Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R166:3 6:1
  • 15/09/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#860Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R324:6 6:3 6:3
  • 07/09/26LTaro Daniel#172Challenger Shanghai · R323:6 1:6
  • 03/09/26LIlia Simakin#147Challenger Zhangjiagang · R165:7 2:6
  • 01/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#434Challenger Zhangjiagang · R324:6 6:3 4:1
  • 29/04/26LLiam Broady#215Challenger Jiujiang · R324:6 0:6
  • 27/04/26LDaniel Masur#351Challenger Jiujiang · Q23:6 2:6

Thomas Fancutt

Elo over the last year

Matthew DellavedovaThomas Fancutt

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. DellavedovaT. Fancutt
Hard court7–1433%8–947%
Clay1–233%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Matthew Dellavedova

First match in this tournament.

Thomas Fancutt

Upcoming matches