ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Fils vs Van de Zandschulp 0:2: result and our tips

·

Arthur FilsATP #11Elo 2217hard 2165
0:2final5:7 4:6
Botic Van de ZandschulpATP #41Elo 1998hard 1977

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Fils 17 of 20, Van de Zandschulp 14 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon59%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 59%

    Fils: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break

  • Set Betting: Fils 2-0Lost60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Fils won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Van de Zandschulp lost 0-2 in 6 of the last 20 matches (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Arthur Fils81%
Botic Van de Zandschulp19%

Elo: A. Fils 75% · B. Van de Zandschulp 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Fils59%
2:1 A. Fils21%
2:1 B. Van de Zandschulp10%
2:0 B. Van de Zandschulp11%

First set

Arthur Fils74%
Botic Van de Zandschulp26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.577%23%76%
19.568%32%67%
20.559%41%59%
21.551%49%54%
22.545%55%45%
23.538%62%39%
24.534%66%38%

Sample: 2,791 matches

Games handicap

Arthur Fils −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Arthur FilsBotic Van de Zandschulp
6Aces6
0Double faults3
55%First serves in63%
65%First-serve points won78%
57%Second-serve points won44%
1/9Break points converted3/6
8/11Service games held10/11
61%Service points won65%
35%Return points won39%
63Total points won71

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. FilsTourB. Van de Zandschulp
Service points won68%62%63%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held86%76%80%
Breaks of serve24%24%21%
Aces per service game0.490.57
Double faults per game0.210.36
Sets with a tie-break20%23%
Tie-breaks won13/2323/37
Wins in straight sets65%67%
Matches in the sample4961

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Arthur Fils

Botic Van de Zandschulp

Elo over the last year

Arthur FilsBotic Van de Zandschulp

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. FilsB. Van de Zandschulp
Hard court27–975%24–1857%
Clay9–282%7–750%
Grass1–150%2–340%

Head to head

A. Fils 1–0 B. Van de Zandschulp

  • 16/05/24Winner: Arthur Fils6:2 4:6 6:1

Road through the tournament

Arthur Fils

Botic Van de Zandschulp

See also