Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Giunta vs Searle 2:1: result and our tips

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Massimo GiuntaATP #390Elo 1620clay 1603
2:1final6:7(7) 6:2 6:2
Henry SearleATP #228Elo 1750clay 1619

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 63%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Giunta 16 of 20, Searle 13 of 20 (tour average 52%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Giunta 11 of 20, Searle 9 of 20 (tour average 34%); Giunta: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Massimo Giunta67%
Henry Searle33%

Elo: M. Giunta 48% · H. Searle 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Giunta44%
2:1 M. Giunta23%
2:1 H. Searle15%
2:0 H. Searle18%

First set

Massimo Giunta63%
Henry Searle37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%59%
20.563%37%52%
21.556%44%47%
22.551%49%40%
23.544%56%36%
24.539%61%34%
25.537%63%30%

Sample: 4,335 matches

Games handicap

Massimo Giunta −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 29 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Massimo GiuntaHenry Searle
8Aces9
8Double faults0
56%First serves in61%
78%First-serve points won63%
58%Second-serve points won49%
5/12Break points converted1/4
13/14Service games held9/14
69%Service points won58%
42%Return points won31%
109Total points won87

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. GiuntaTourH. Searle
Service points won66%62%66%
Return points won35%38%37%
Service games held83%76%84%
Breaks of serve20%24%22%
Aces per service game0.530.49
Double faults per game0.200.22
Sets with a tie-break26%17%
Tie-breaks won7/165/11
Wins in straight sets77%68%
Matches in the sample2629

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Massimo Giunta

Henry Searle

  • 26/09/26LDylan Dietrich#264Challenger San Diego 2 · QF3:6 5:7
  • 23/09/26WLiam Draxl#219Challenger San Diego 2 · R167:6 2:6 6:4
  • 22/09/26WEvan Zhu#479Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:3 6:7 6:3
  • 15/09/26LTimo Legout#362Challenger Tiburon · R321:6 4:6
  • 25/08/26LMichael Antonius#632ATP US Open · Q11:6 2:6
  • 12/08/26LMees Rottgering#327Challenger Brownsburg · R325:7 3:6
  • 03/08/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Lexington · R325:7 6:2 3:6
  • 12/07/26WClement Chidekh#146Challenger Nottingham 3 · F6:4 6:4
  • 11/07/26WMax Basing#248Challenger Nottingham 3 · SF7:5 6:2
  • 10/07/26WJohannus Monday#299Challenger Nottingham 3 · QF6:4 7:5

Elo over the last year

Massimo GiuntaHenry Searle

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. GiuntaH. Searle
Hard court6–555%8–947%
Clay7–847%0–0
Grass0–011–192%

Head to head

They have not met yet.