WTA 125 MallorcaQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
Grabher vs Geerlings Martinez: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Julia Grabher63%
Ariana Geerlings Martinez37%
Elo: J. Grabher 77% · A. Geerlings Martinez 23%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Grabher37%
2:1 J. Grabher22%
2:1 A. Geerlings Martinez17%
2:0 A. Geerlings Martinez25%
First set
Julia Grabher54%
Ariana Geerlings Martinez46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 53%market (no margin): 49%
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,491 matches
Games handicap
Julia Grabher −2.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Grabher | Tour | A. Geerlings Martinez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 64% | 63% | 63% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 37% | 41% |
| Aces per service game | 0.16 | 0.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.49 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 0% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/16 | 0/0 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 100% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 3 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Julia Grabher
- 14/10/26WLidia Encheva#348WTA 125 Mallorca · R164:6 7:5 6:4
- 12/10/26WDeborah Chiesa#345WTA 125 Mallorca · R323:6 6:4 6:4
- 05/10/26LDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Samsun · R323:6 4:6
- 27/09/26WGuiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales#148WTA 125 Tolentino · F7:6 6:2
- 26/09/26WOksana Selekhmeteva#100WTA 125 Tolentino · SF7:6 6:1
- 25/09/26WNuria Brancaccio#232WTA 125 Tolentino · QF2:6 6:1 6:4
- 24/09/26WAlice Tubello#218WTA 125 Tolentino · R163:6 6:3 6:4
- 22/09/26WJennifer Ruggeri#252WTA 125 Tolentino · R324:6 7:5 6:3
- 31/08/26LSorana Cirstea#16WTA US Open · R1283:6 0:6
- 28/08/26LTereza Valentova#62WTA 125 Philadelphia · SF3:6 1:6
Ariana Geerlings Martinez
- 14/10/26WLucia Cortez Llorca#395WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:4 6:2
- 13/10/26WTea KovacevicWTA 125 Mallorca · R326:2 6:4
- 15/09/26LAne Mintegi Del Olmo#207WTA 125 Valencia · R321:6 4:6
- 15/07/25LAstra Sharma#576WTA Hamburg · R326:7 6:3 2:6
- 14/07/25WElena Malygina#265WTA Hamburg · Q26:3 6:2
- 13/07/25WSofia Shapatava#510WTA Hamburg · Q16:7 6:2 6:3
- 11/06/25LSolana Sierra#101WTA 125 Valencia · R161:6 1:6
- 10/06/25WLaura Pigossi#243WTA 125 Valencia · R326:4 6:3
- 09/06/25WDiletta Cherubini#397WTA 125 Valencia · Q26:2 6:2
- 08/06/25WAoi Ito#344WTA 125 Valencia · Q17:6 3:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Julia GrabherAriana Geerlings Martinez
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Grabher | A. Geerlings Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 5–1033% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 26–1268% | 2–167% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Julia Grabher
- 12/10/26WDeborah Chiesa#345WTA 125 Mallorca · R323:6 6:4 6:4
- 14/10/26WLidia Encheva#348WTA 125 Mallorca · R164:6 7:5 6:4
Ariana Geerlings Martinez
- 13/10/26WTea KovacevicWTA 125 Mallorca · R326:2 6:4
- 14/10/26WLucia Cortez Llorca#395WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:4 6:2