Herbert vs Báez 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Baez: 6 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Herbert 15 of 20, Baez 12 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Herbert: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Herbert 10 of 20, Baez 10 of 20 (tour average 39%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: P.-H. Herbert 32% · S. Báez 68%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
Sample: 5,848 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.5out · 19 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | Sebastián Báez | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 0 |
| 3 | Double faults | 1 |
| 67% | First serves in | 74% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 62% |
| 59% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 2/14 | Break points converted | 0/5 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 7/9 |
| 70% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 30% |
| 80 | Total points won | 68 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P.-H. Herbert | Tour | S. Báez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/18 | 7/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 74% | |
| Matches in the sample | 41 | 60 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
- 19/10/26WMaxim Mrva#234ATP Lyon · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
- 18/10/26WJurij Rodionov#137ATP Lyon · Q16:7 7:5 6:0
- 14/10/26LHugo Gaston#93Challenger Roanne · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WNorbert Gombos#362Challenger Roanne · R326:3 6:2
- 28/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R324:6 5:7
- 24/08/26LLorenzo Sonego#89ATP Winston Salem · R646:7 6:4 3:6
- 23/08/26LQuinn Vandecasteele#468ATP Winston Salem · Q26:3 6:7 5:7
- 22/08/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#441ATP Winston Salem · Q16:2 4:6 6:2
- 18/07/26LSandro Kopp#308ATP Kitzbuhel · Q14:6 4:6
- 11/07/26LThiago Monteiro#236ATP Gstaad · Q16:7 7:6 6:7
Sebastián Báez
- 10/10/26LValentin Vacherot#32ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:7
- 08/10/26WMarcos Giron#88ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 6:3 6:4
- 01/10/26LJuncheng Shang#248ATP Beijing · R327:5 3:6 5:7
- 23/09/26LJenson Brooksby#99ATP Chengdu · R325:7 5:7
- 31/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#17ATP US Open · R1282:6 1:6 0:6
- 26/08/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#53ATP Winston Salem · R162:6 0:4
- 25/08/26WHugo Grenier#387ATP Winston Salem · R327:5 7:6
- 24/08/26LHubert Hurkacz#30Challenger Cancun · F6:4 0:6 3:6
- 23/08/26WLloyd Harris#104Challenger Cancun · SF6:4 6:4
- 22/08/26WColeman Wong#92Challenger Cancun · QF6:4 6:0
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P.-H. Herbert | S. Báez | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–1154% | 14–1450% |
| Clay | 5–838% | 17–1455% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
- 18/10/26WJurij Rodionov#137ATP Lyon · Q16:7 7:5 6:0
- 19/10/26WMaxim Mrva#234ATP Lyon · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
Sebastián Báez
First match in this tournament.