Herbert vs Mrva 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: P.-H. Herbert 43% · M. Mrva 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 64% | 35% |
Sample: 5,780 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 26 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 5 |
| 2 | Double faults | 1 |
| 65% | First serves in | 56% |
| 82% | First-serve points won | 53% |
| 43% | Second-serve points won | 56% |
| 5/17 | Break points converted | 2/3 |
| 11/13 | Service games held | 8/13 |
| 68% | Service points won | 54% |
| 46% | Return points won | 32% |
| 97 | Total points won | 76 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P.-H. Herbert | Tour | M. Mrva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 57% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 43% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.26 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.42 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/18 | 9/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | 40 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
- 18/10/26WJurij Rodionov#137ATP Lyon · Q16:7 7:5 6:0
- 14/10/26LHugo Gaston#93Challenger Roanne · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WNorbert Gombos#362Challenger Roanne · R326:3 6:2
- 28/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R324:6 5:7
- 24/08/26LLorenzo Sonego#89ATP Winston Salem · R646:7 6:4 3:6
- 23/08/26LQuinn Vandecasteele#468ATP Winston Salem · Q26:3 6:7 5:7
- 22/08/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#441ATP Winston Salem · Q16:2 4:6 6:2
- 18/07/26LSandro Kopp#308ATP Kitzbuhel · Q14:6 4:6
- 11/07/26LThiago Monteiro#236ATP Gstaad · Q16:7 7:6 6:7
- 22/06/26LPaul Jubb#391ATP Wimbledon · Q15:7 6:7
Maxim Mrva
- 18/10/26WDusan Lajovic#162ATP Lyon · Q17:6 7:6
- 16/10/26LJacob Fearnley#87Challenger Olbia · QF0:6 6:7
- 15/10/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#171Challenger Olbia · R166:3 6:4
- 13/10/26WHynek Barton#271Challenger Olbia · R326:2 2:1
- 24/09/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#409Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R165:7 6:0 2:6
- 22/09/26WNikita Mashtakov#453Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:4 4:6 6:2
- 07/09/26LMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Tulln · R322:5
- 03/09/26LFederico Iannaccone#579Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R164:6 4:6
- 01/09/26WOleg Prihodko#442Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:5 6:7 6:1
- 20/08/26LJan Kumstat#192Challenger Prague · QF1:6 5:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P.-H. Herbert | M. Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1152% | 14–961% |
| Clay | 5–838% | 23–1955% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
- 18/10/26WJurij Rodionov#137ATP Lyon · Q16:7 7:5 6:0
Maxim Mrva
- 18/10/26WDusan Lajovic#162ATP Lyon · Q17:6 7:6