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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Ibragimova vs Iatcenko 2:0: result and our tips

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Alevtina IbragimovaWTA #171Elo 1650hard 1593
2:0final6:3 6:3
Polina IatcenkoWTA #147Elo 1696hard 1681

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alevtina Ibragimova36%
Polina Iatcenko64%

Elo: A. Ibragimova 38% · P. Iatcenko 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Ibragimova22%
2:1 A. Ibragimova16%
2:1 P. Iatcenko22%
2:0 P. Iatcenko41%

First set

Alevtina Ibragimova40%
Polina Iatcenko60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,309 matches

Games handicap

P. Iatcenko −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Alevtina IbragimovaPolina Iatcenko
4Aces2
2Double faults9
47%First serves in54%
64%First-serve points won49%
52%Second-serve points won30%
7/11Break points converted4/5
5/9Service games held2/9
57%Service points won40%
60%Return points won43%
66Total points won46

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. IbragimovaTourP. Iatcenko
Service points won53%56%56%
Return points won48%44%44%
Service games held59%63%62%
Breaks of serve45%37%38%
Aces per service game0.140.21
Double faults per game0.290.39
Sets with a tie-break5%10%
Tie-breaks won3/44/7
Wins in straight sets58%59%
Matches in the sample3132

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alevtina Ibragimova

  • 24/10/26WRina Saigo#305WTA Guangzhou · Q13:6 6:2 6:4
  • 05/10/26LRebecca Sramkova#142WTA 125 Suzhou · R322:6 3:6
  • 01/10/26LKyoka Okamura#241WTA 125 Jingshan · R167:6 1:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26WDarya Khomutsianskaya#304WTA 125 Jingshan · R323:6 6:4 7:5
  • 22/09/26LYeon Woo Ku#165WTA Seoul · R323:6 2:6
  • 20/09/26WSara Saito#254WTA Seoul · Q27:5 6:2
  • 19/09/26WRina Saigo#305WTA Seoul · Q16:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26LRositsa Dencheva#195WTA 125 Antalya 4 · F5:7 4:6
  • 12/09/26WAlicia Herrero Linana#227WTA 125 Antalya 4 · SF4:6 6:2 6:3
  • 11/09/26WAurora Zantedeschi#272WTA 125 Antalya 4 · QF6:2 6:3

Polina Iatcenko

Elo over the last year

Alevtina IbragimovaPolina Iatcenko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. IbragimovaP. Iatcenko
Hard court5–550%15–1256%
Clay14–767%0–20%
Grass0–02–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alevtina Ibragimova

Polina Iatcenko