Johnson vs Berkieta 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Berkieta: 12 matches in a row without a deciding set
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 23.5Lost62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Berkieta: 11 matches in a row under 23.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Johnson won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Berkieta lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Johnson 60% · T. Berkieta 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 35% |
Sample: 4,367 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.5out · 29 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Spencer Johnson | Tomasz Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Aces | 13 |
| 3 | Double faults | 7 |
| 64% | First serves in | 61% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 37% | Second-serve points won | 58% |
| 2/8 | Break points converted | 4/12 |
| 11/15 | Service games held | 12/14 |
| 63% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 37% |
| 93 | Total points won | 96 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Johnson | Tour | T. Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.58 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.42 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 25% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/13 | 1/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 89% | |
| Matches in the sample | 22 | 20 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Spencer Johnson
- 25/10/26WJonah BraswellChallenger Sioux Falls · Q16:1 6:4
- 18/10/26LErik Arutiunian#573Challenger Fort Worth · Q15:7 6:1 5:7
- 22/09/26LTristan Boyer#195Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:7 1:6
- 21/09/26WJakub VrbaChallenger San Diego 2 · Q26:2 6:4
- 20/09/26WJan KobierskiChallenger San Diego 2 · Q17:6 6:3
- 14/09/26LErik Arutiunian#573Challenger Tiburon · Q26:7 6:7
- 13/09/26WVignesh Gogineni#754Challenger Tiburon · Q16:1 6:7 6:1
- 24/08/26LCristian Garin#171ATP US Open · Q16:7 6:4 6:7
- 08/08/26LAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Lexington · SF4:6 4:6
- 07/08/26WAndres Martin#354Challenger Lexington · QF4:6 7:6 6:3
Tomasz Berkieta
- 25/10/26WErik Arutiunian#573Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:2 7:5
- 05/08/26LMichele Ribecai#265Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R165:7 4:6
- 03/08/26WFacundo Mena#193Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R326:3 7:6
- 27/07/26LNorbert Gombos#370Challenger Liberec · Q26:7 1:6
- 26/07/26WDominik KellovskyChallenger Liberec · Q16:4 6:4
- 24/06/26LTommaso Compagnucci#371Challenger Plovdiv · R163:6 3:6
- 23/06/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#448Challenger Plovdiv · R326:2 6:1
- 22/06/26WAleksandar TolevChallenger Plovdiv · Q26:1 6:2
- 21/06/26WEdison AmbarzumjanChallenger Plovdiv · Q16:4 6:1
- 16/06/26LGonzalo Bueno#197Challenger Poznan · R326:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Johnson | T. Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–959% | 3–350% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 6–843% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Spencer Johnson
- 25/10/26WJonah BraswellChallenger Sioux Falls · Q16:1 6:4
Tomasz Berkieta
- 25/10/26WErik Arutiunian#573Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:2 7:5