WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Kawa vs Bencic: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 3h 42mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Katarzyna Kawa8%
Belinda Bencic92%
Elo: K. Kawa 7% · B. Bencic 93%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Kawa5%
2:1 K. Kawa4%
2:1 B. Bencic16%
2:0 B. Bencic75%
First set
Katarzyna Kawa16%
Belinda Bencic84%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes20%
no80%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 55%market (no margin): 53%
The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 78% | 22% | 89% |
| 16.5 | 67% | 33% | 82% |
| 17.5 | 57% | 43% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 45% | 55% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 38% | 62% | 55% |
| 20.5 | 31% | 69% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 27% | 73% | 44% |
Sample: 813 matches
Games handicap
Belinda Bencic −6.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes16%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Kawa | Tour | B. Bencic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 61% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 60% | 63% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 44% | 37% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 0.22 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.38 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 7% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/9 | 7/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 42 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Katarzyna Kawa
- 20/10/26WDaria Snigur#40WTA Ningbo · R321:6 6:2 6:4
- 18/10/26WDaria Snigur#40WTA Ningbo · Q26:1 2:0
- 17/10/26WKatie Volynets#73WTA Ningbo · Q16:1 3:4
- 30/09/26LDaria Snigur#40WTA Beijing · R1286:3 4:6 5:7
- 29/09/26WValeria Savinykh#555WTA Beijing · Q26:3 7:5
- 28/09/26WRinko Matsuda#434WTA Beijing · Q17:6 2:6 6:3
- 14/09/26LMaria Garcia Cid#471WTA 125 Valencia · R323:6 3:6
- 08/09/26LEva Bennemann#280WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R322:6 5:7
- 24/08/26LEkaterine Gorgodze#178WTA US Open · Q16:3 6:7 2:6
- 12/08/26LEva Lys#137WTA Cincinnati · Q17:5 1:6 4:6
Belinda Bencic
- 20/10/26WJeļena Ostapenko#24WTA Ningbo · R326:3 1:1
- 14/10/26LSonay Kartal#49WTA Wuhan · R320:6 5:7
- 05/10/26LAnn Li#25WTA Beijing · R324:6 3:6
- 03/10/26WAnastasia Zakharova#111WTA Beijing · R646:1 7:6
- 01/09/26LYulia Putintseva#66WTA US Open · R1286:4 5:7 3:6
- 16/08/26LLois Boisson#255WTA Cincinnati · R643:6
- 10/08/26WAlexandra Eala#20WTA Toronto · R166:4 6:0
- 07/08/26WTaylor Townsend#89WTA Toronto · R326:7 7:6 6:4
- 05/08/26WSloane Stephens#118WTA Toronto · R646:3 6:1
- 05/07/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Wimbledon · R166:4 3:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Katarzyna KawaBelinda Bencic
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Kawa | B. Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–944% | 18–869% |
| Clay | 20–1361% | 8–467% |
| Grass | 2–167% | 3–175% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Katarzyna Kawa
- 17/10/26WKatie Volynets#73WTA Ningbo · Q16:1 3:4
- 18/10/26WDaria Snigur#40WTA Ningbo · Q26:1 2:0
- 20/10/26WDaria Snigur#40WTA Ningbo · R321:6 6:2 6:4
Belinda Bencic
- 20/10/26WJeļena Ostapenko#24WTA Ningbo · R326:3 1:1