Ostapenko vs Bencic 0:1: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 19.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in 2 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. Ostapenko 36% · B. Bencic 64%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 2,433 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Match stats
| Jeļena Ostapenko | Belinda Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 3 |
| 7 | Double faults | 3 |
| 41% | First serves in | 58% |
| 58% | First-serve points won | 72% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 2/3 |
| 3/5 | Service games held | 5/6 |
| 52% | Service points won | 61% |
| 40% | Return points won | 48% |
| 32 | Total points won | 40 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Ostapenko | Tour | B. Bencic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 56% | 61% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 65% | 63% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 37% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.21 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.56 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/10 | 7/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 79% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 41 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jeļena Ostapenko
- 17/10/26LSonay Kartal#49WTA Wuhan · SF6:7 6:7
- 16/10/26WDiana Shnaider#13WTA Wuhan · QF7:6 6:1
- 15/10/26WLeylah Fernandez#30WTA Wuhan · R166:1 1:6 6:4
- 14/10/26WJessica Pegula#4WTA Wuhan · R322:6 7:6 6:3
- 13/10/26WDaria Kasatkina#74WTA Wuhan · R646:1 6:1
- 05/10/26LElise Mertens#15WTA Beijing · R322:6 6:3 3:6
- 03/10/26WPaula Badosa#61WTA Beijing · R647:6 7:5
- 24/09/26LTaylah Preston#87WTA Seoul · R164:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WAnastasia Zakharova#111WTA Seoul · R326:4 6:1
- 01/09/26LTatjana Maria#69WTA US Open · R1286:4 1:6 2:6
Belinda Bencic
- 14/10/26LSonay Kartal#49WTA Wuhan · R320:6 5:7
- 05/10/26LAnn Li#25WTA Beijing · R324:6 3:6
- 03/10/26WAnastasia Zakharova#111WTA Beijing · R646:1 7:6
- 01/09/26LYulia Putintseva#66WTA US Open · R1286:4 5:7 3:6
- 16/08/26LLois Boisson#255WTA Cincinnati · R643:6
- 10/08/26WAlexandra Eala#20WTA Toronto · R166:4 6:0
- 07/08/26WTaylor Townsend#89WTA Toronto · R326:7 7:6 6:4
- 05/08/26WSloane Stephens#118WTA Toronto · R646:3 6:1
- 05/07/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Wimbledon · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 03/07/26WAnna Kalinskaya#23WTA Wimbledon · R326:4 4:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Ostapenko | B. Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1452% | 17–868% |
| Clay | 7–558% | 8–467% |
| Grass | 5–271% | 3–175% |
Head to head
J. Ostapenko 1–2 B. Bencic
- 13/01/25Winner: Belinda Bencic3:6 6:7
- 23/01/20Winner: Belinda Bencic5:7 5:7
- 09/03/18Winner: Jeļena Ostapenko6:4 3:6 6:1