WTA WuhanWTA 1000Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Kartal vs Ostapenko 2:0: result and our tips

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Sonay KartalWTA #49Elo 2032hard 2013
2:0final7:6(9) 7:6(5)
Jeļena OstapenkoWTA #24Elo 1956hard 1912

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Lost68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 25.5 games in recent matches: Kartal 16 of 20, Ostapenko 17 of 20 (tour average 72%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sonay Kartal55%
Jeļena Ostapenko45%

Elo: S. Kartal 64% · J. Ostapenko 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Kartal33%
2:1 S. Kartal20%
2:1 J. Ostapenko18%
2:0 J. Ostapenko30%

First set

Sonay Kartal52%
Jeļena Ostapenko49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,347 matches

Games handicap

Sonay Kartal −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 26 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Sonay KartalJeļena Ostapenko
1Aces9
2Double faults7
57%First serves in62%
62%First-serve points won69%
50%Second-serve points won39%
4/4Break points converted4/8
8/12Service games held8/12
57%Service points won57%
43%Return points won43%
88Total points won87

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. KartalTourJ. Ostapenko
Service points won61%56%56%
Return points won46%44%45%
Service games held72%63%65%
Breaks of serve40%37%39%
Aces per service game0.230.36
Double faults per game0.130.56
Sets with a tie-break11%7%
Tie-breaks won3/75/8
Wins in straight sets74%67%
Matches in the sample2747

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sonay Kartal

Jeļena Ostapenko

Elo over the last year

Sonay KartalJeļena Ostapenko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. KartalJ. Ostapenko
Hard court19–870%15–1354%
Clay0–07–558%
Grass0–05–271%

Head to head

S. Kartal 1–1 J. Ostapenko

  • 30/06/25Winner: Sonay Kartal7:5 2:6 6:2
  • 24/06/25Winner: Jeļena Ostapenko3:6 6:7

Road through the tournament

Sonay Kartal

Jeļena Ostapenko

See also