WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Paolini vs Kartal: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 3h 6mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Jasmine Paolini53%
Sonay Kartal47%
Elo: J. Paolini 48% · S. Kartal 52%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Paolini32%
2:1 J. Paolini19%
2:1 S. Kartal19%
2:0 S. Kartal30%
First set
Jasmine Paolini51%
Sonay Kartal49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,280 matches
Games handicap
Jasmine Paolini −0.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 23%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Paolini | Tour | S. Kartal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 56% | 61% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 65% | 63% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 40% |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | 0.23 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.13 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/8 | 3/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 38 | 25 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jasmine Paolini
- 14/10/26WNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Wuhan · R327:6 6:3
- 12/10/26WSara Bejlek#30WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:4
- 02/10/26LDaria Snigur#42WTA Beijing · R646:3 6:7 2:6
- 04/09/26LSorana Cirstea#16WTA US Open · R323:6 3:6
- 02/09/26WLucrezia Stefanini#106WTA US Open · R646:4 6:1
- 30/08/26WVeronika Erjavec#144WTA US Open · R1286:3 3:6 6:4
- 08/07/26LMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Wimbledon · QF3:6 2:6
- 06/07/26WAlexandra Eala#19WTA Wimbledon · R166:4 4:6 6:3
- 04/07/26WMaria Sakkari#35WTA Wimbledon · R326:1 6:2
- 02/07/26WViktorija Golubic#72WTA Wimbledon · R647:6 6:4
Sonay Kartal
- 14/10/26WBelinda Bencic#12WTA Wuhan · R326:0 7:5
- 12/10/26WAnhelina Kalinina#48WTA Wuhan · R647:5 6:3
- 05/10/26LAlina Charaeva#98WTA Beijing · R324:6 1:6
- 03/10/26WXinyu Wang#39WTA Beijing · R646:3 6:2
- 01/10/26WAndrea Lazaro Garcia#143WTA Beijing · R1286:2 6:3
- 11/03/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA Indian Wells · R164:6 3:4
- 10/03/26WMadison Keys#20WTA Indian Wells · R322:6 6:2 6:3
- 07/03/26WEmma Navarro#27WTA Indian Wells · R646:1 3:6 7:6
- 05/03/26WLanlana Tararudee#60WTA Indian Wells · R1286:4 6:4
- 14/02/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#118WTA Dubai · Q24:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Jasmine PaoliniSonay Kartal
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Paolini | S. Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–1252% | 17–868% |
| Clay | 3–443% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 4–267% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jasmine Paolini
- 12/10/26WSara Bejlek#30WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:4
- 14/10/26WNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Wuhan · R327:6 6:3
Sonay Kartal
- 12/10/26WAnhelina Kalinina#48WTA Wuhan · R647:5 6:3
- 14/10/26WBelinda Bencic#12WTA Wuhan · R326:0 7:5