WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Paolini vs Bartunkova: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 22mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Jasmine Paolini43%
Nikola Bartunkova57%
Elo: J. Paolini 42% · N. Bartunkova 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Paolini28%
2:1 J. Paolini18%
2:1 N. Bartunkova20%
2:0 N. Bartunkova34%
First set
Jasmine Paolini47%
Nikola Bartunkova53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,393 matches
Games handicap
Nikola Bartunkova −1.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Paolini | Tour | N. Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 64% | 63% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.13 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.41 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/7 | 7/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 51% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jasmine Paolini
- 12/10/26WSara Bejlek#30WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:4
- 02/10/26LDaria Snigur#42WTA Beijing · R646:3 6:7 2:6
- 04/09/26LSorana Cirstea#16WTA US Open · R323:6 3:6
- 02/09/26WLucrezia Stefanini#106WTA US Open · R646:4 6:1
- 30/08/26WVeronika Erjavec#144WTA US Open · R1286:3 3:6 6:4
- 08/07/26LMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Wimbledon · QF3:6 2:6
- 06/07/26WAlexandra Eala#19WTA Wimbledon · R166:4 4:6 6:3
- 04/07/26WMaria Sakkari#35WTA Wimbledon · R326:1 6:2
- 02/07/26WViktorija Golubic#72WTA Wimbledon · R647:6 6:4
- 30/06/26WRobin Montgomery#153WTA Wimbledon · R1280:6 6:4 7:5
Nikola Bartunkova
- 13/10/26WLilli Tagger#55WTA Wuhan · R647:6 2:6 6:1
- 10/10/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA Beijing · SF2:6 2:6
- 08/10/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA Beijing · QF6:3 6:0
- 06/10/26WSinja Kraus#75WTA Beijing · R166:0 4:6 6:3
- 04/10/26WAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Beijing · R326:4 6:3
- 02/10/26WMagdalena Fręch#56WTA Beijing · R646:2 6:2
- 05/09/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA US Open · R322:6 6:7
- 03/09/26WTatjana Maria#71WTA US Open · R646:7 6:2 6:3
- 02/09/26WMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA US Open · R1286:1 6:2
- 29/08/26LElise Mertens#14WTA Monterrey · SF6:1 4:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Jasmine PaoliniNikola Bartunkova
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Paolini | N. Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1250% | 26–1465% |
| Clay | 3–443% | 5–550% |
| Grass | 4–267% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jasmine Paolini
- 12/10/26WSara Bejlek#30WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:4
Nikola Bartunkova
- 13/10/26WLilli Tagger#55WTA Wuhan · R647:6 2:6 6:1