WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Tagger vs Bartunkova 1:2: result and our tips

·

Lilli TaggerWTA #55Elo 1803hard 1802
1:2final6:7(4) 6:2 1:6
Nikola BartunkovaWTA #29Elo 2011hard 1970

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: BartunkovaWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bartunkova won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lilli Tagger30%
Nikola Bartunkova70%

Elo: L. Tagger 28% · N. Bartunkova 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Tagger17%
2:1 L. Tagger14%
2:1 N. Bartunkova21%
2:0 N. Bartunkova47%

First set

Lilli Tagger34%
Nikola Bartunkova66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,931 matches

Games handicap

Nikola Bartunkova −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Lilli TaggerNikola Bartunkova
5Aces6
3Double faults13
72%First serves in62%
64%First-serve points won63%
46%Second-serve points won51%
3/15Break points converted3/5
10/13Service games held11/14
59%Service points won58%
42%Return points won41%
109Total points won113

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. TaggerTourN. Bartunkova
Service points won59%56%59%
Return points won43%44%43%
Service games held71%63%70%
Breaks of serve34%37%35%
Aces per service game0.370.37
Double faults per game0.250.40
Sets with a tie-break12%13%
Tie-breaks won7/136/19
Wins in straight sets72%53%
Matches in the sample4961

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lilli Tagger

Nikola Bartunkova

Elo over the last year

Lilli TaggerNikola Bartunkova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. TaggerN. Bartunkova
Hard court23–1168%25–1464%
Clay6–746%5–550%
Grass0–20%8–467%

Head to head

They have not met yet.