WTA WuhanWTA 1000Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Shnaider vs Ostapenko: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10h 43mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Diana Shnaider66%
Jeļena Ostapenko34%
Elo: D. Shnaider 66% · J. Ostapenko 34%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Shnaider42%
2:1 D. Shnaider22%
2:1 J. Ostapenko15%
2:0 J. Ostapenko21%
First set
Diana Shnaider61%
Jeļena Ostapenko39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 63% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 2,198 matches
Games handicap
Diana Shnaider −3.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Shnaider | Tour | J. Ostapenko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 64% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 37% | 39% |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.56 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/17 | 4/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 65% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Diana Shnaider
- 15/10/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA Wuhan · R167:5 6:3
- 14/10/26WYulia Putintseva#79WTA Wuhan · R326:2 6:2
- 13/10/26WKatie Boulter#54WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:1
- 04/10/26LEkaterina Alexandrova#24WTA Beijing · R326:3 4:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WJanice Tjen#47WTA Beijing · R646:0 6:4
- 04/09/26LTaylor Townsend#89WTA US Open · R322:6 7:6 3:6
- 02/09/26WKarolína Plíšková#49WTA US Open · R646:1 7:6
- 31/08/26WDaria Snigur#42WTA US Open · R1286:0 6:4
- 19/08/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA Cincinnati · R164:6 4:6
- 17/08/26WMaja Chwalińska#22WTA Cincinnati · R326:2 7:6
Jeļena Ostapenko
- 15/10/26WLeylah Fernandez#25WTA Wuhan · R166:1 1:6 6:4
- 14/10/26WJessica Pegula#4WTA Wuhan · R322:6 7:6 6:3
- 13/10/26WDaria Kasatkina#82WTA Wuhan · R646:1 6:1
- 05/10/26LElise Mertens#14WTA Beijing · R322:6 6:3 3:6
- 03/10/26WPaula Badosa#58WTA Beijing · R647:6 7:5
- 24/09/26LTaylah Preston#86WTA Seoul · R164:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WAnastasia Zakharova#111WTA Seoul · R326:4 6:1
- 01/09/26LTatjana Maria#71WTA US Open · R1286:4 1:6 2:6
- 15/08/26LMagdalena Fręch#56WTA Cincinnati · R641:6 3:6
- 04/08/26LShuai Zhang#81WTA Toronto · R640:6 0:4
Elo over the last year
Diana ShnaiderJeļena Ostapenko
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Shnaider | J. Ostapenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1462% | 14–1352% |
| Clay | 10–567% | 7–558% |
| Grass | 1–325% | 5–271% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Diana Shnaider
- 13/10/26WKatie Boulter#54WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:1
- 14/10/26WYulia Putintseva#79WTA Wuhan · R326:2 6:2
- 15/10/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA Wuhan · R167:5 6:3
Jeļena Ostapenko
- 13/10/26WDaria Kasatkina#82WTA Wuhan · R646:1 6:1
- 14/10/26WJessica Pegula#4WTA Wuhan · R322:6 7:6 6:3
- 15/10/26WLeylah Fernandez#25WTA Wuhan · R166:1 1:6 6:4