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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Kittay vs Gobat 0:2: result and our tips

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Benjamin KittayElo 1350hard 1378
0:2final6:7(2) 4:6
Adrien GobatATP #851Elo 1475hard 1469

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: GobatWon77%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kittay lost 4 of the last 5 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Benjamin Kittay26%
Adrien Gobat74%

Elo: B. Kittay 37% · A. Gobat 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Kittay15%
2:1 B. Kittay12%
2:1 A. Gobat22%
2:0 A. Gobat52%

First set

Benjamin Kittay32%
Adrien Gobat68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 55%market (no margin): 53%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.536%64%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,159 matches

Games handicap

A. Gobat −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Benjamin KittayAdrien Gobat
10Aces12
1Double faults2
65%First serves in69%
69%First-serve points won74%
46%Second-serve points won58%
1/6Break points converted2/4
9/11Service games held10/11
61%Service points won69%
31%Return points won39%
70Total points won82

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. KittayTourA. Gobat
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won34%38%37%
Service games held74%76%76%
Breaks of serve16%24%21%
Aces per service game0.490.45
Double faults per game0.310.27
Sets with a tie-break8%11%
Tie-breaks won0/10/1
Wins in straight sets0%0%
Matches in the sample54

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Benjamin Kittay

  • 08/11/26WRobin Catry#654Challenger Orleans · Q16:4 5:7 7:5
  • 09/08/26LMees Rottgering#294Challenger Brownsburg · Q12:6 3:6
  • 03/05/26LAndrea Guerrieri#160Challenger Francavilla · Q14:6 3:6
  • 05/04/26LStrong Kirchheimer#742Challenger Sarasota · Q12:6 6:4 2:6
  • 09/11/25LFacundo Mena#193Challenger Montevideo · Q14:6 6:7
  • 19/10/25LJustin Boulais#411Challenger Sioux Falls · Q14:6 4:6
  • 29/07/23LKyle SeeligATP Washington · Q14:6 5:7
  • 30/07/22LTung-Lin Wu#376ATP Washington · Q13:6 3:6

Adrien Gobat

Elo over the last year

Benjamin KittayAdrien Gobat

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. KittayA. Gobat
Hard court1–150%1–325%
Clay0–30%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Benjamin Kittay

Adrien Gobat

Upcoming matches

See also