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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Gobat vs Sanchez Quilez 2:1: result and our tips

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Adrien GobatATP #854Elo 1418hard 1415
2:1final6:1 5:7 6:2
Alejo Sanchez QuilezATP #324Elo 1706hard 1649

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Adrien Gobat66%
Alejo Sanchez Quilez34%

Elo: A. Gobat 21% · A. Sanchez Quilez 79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Gobat44%
2:1 A. Gobat22%
2:1 A. Sanchez Quilez15%
2:0 A. Sanchez Quilez20%

First set

Adrien Gobat62%
Alejo Sanchez Quilez38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,533 matches

Games handicap

A. Gobat −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 27 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Adrien GobatAlejo Sanchez Quilez
6Aces0
4Double faults2
65%First serves in56%
70%First-serve points won59%
57%Second-serve points won46%
6/13Break points converted2/8
11/13Service games held8/14
65%Service points won53%
47%Return points won35%
100Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. GobatTourA. Sanchez Quilez
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won36%38%41%
Service games held75%76%70%
Breaks of serve17%24%31%
Aces per service game0.450.20
Double faults per game0.260.15
Sets with a tie-break17%10%
Tie-breaks won0/15/12
Wins in straight sets—68%
Matches in the sample356

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Adrien Gobat

  • 25/10/26LCalvin Hemery#274Challenger Brest · Q13:6 4:6
  • 13/09/26LDaniel Masur#365Challenger Rennes · Q14:6 4:6
  • 22/02/26LFlorian Broska#320Challenger St. Brieuc · Q13:6 6:7
  • 05/10/25LDavid Jorda Sanchis#199Challenger Roanne · Q13:6 3:6
  • 14/09/25LFlorent Bax#292Challenger Saint Tropez · Q12:6 2:6
  • 08/09/25LMaxime Janvier#605Challenger Rennes · Q26:2 4:6 4:6
  • 07/09/25WBenoit PaireChallenger Rennes · Q16:3 6:2
  • 15/06/25LTom Paris#764Challenger Royan · Q16:3 2:6 4:6
  • 13/03/25LJelle Sels#591Challenger Cherbourg · R164:6 1:6
  • 11/03/25WPaul Jubb#362Challenger Cherbourg · R326:3 6:4

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

  • 20/10/26LSumit Nagal#265Challenger Lisbon · R324:6 2:6
  • 19/10/26WKai Wehnelt#643Challenger Lisbon · Q27:6 3:6 6:2
  • 18/10/26WDuarte Lima SanchesChallenger Lisbon · Q16:0 6:2
  • 17/10/26LZsombor Piros#101Challenger Maia · SF4:6 4:6
  • 16/10/26WLuka Mikrut#251Challenger Maia · QF6:1 6:4
  • 14/10/26WAndrej Nedic#246Challenger Maia · R166:3 6:4
  • 13/10/26WMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:4
  • 12/10/26WIvan Gakhov#520Challenger Maia · Q26:3 4:6 7:5
  • 11/10/26WVasco Leote PrataChallenger Maia · Q14:6 6:4 6:2
  • 05/10/26LDaniel Rincon#234Challenger Villena · R322:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Adrien GobatAlejo Sanchez Quilez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. GobatA. Sanchez Quilez
Hard court0–30%9–853%
Clay0–022–1756%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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