Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets
Varillas vs Barrios Vera: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Juan Pablo Varillas47%
Tomas Barrios Vera53%
Elo: J. Varillas 47% · T. Barrios Vera 53%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 J. Varillas31%
2:1 J. Varillas18%
2:1 T. Barrios Vera18%
2:0 T. Barrios Vera34%
First set
Juan Pablo Varillas48%
Tomas Barrios Vera52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 75% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 51% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
Sample: 14,516 matches
Games handicap
T. Barrios Vera −0.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Varillas | Tour | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.23 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/24 | 12/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 68% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Juan Pablo Varillas
- 03/11/26LFilip Misolic#676Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:6 2:6 3:6
- 27/10/26LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#255Challenger Guayaquil · R322:6 3:6
- 21/10/26LGustavo Heide#112Challenger Cali · R165:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Cali · R326:3 6:3
- 06/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 1:6
- 25/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF2:6 4:6
- 23/09/26WMurkel Dellien#450Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 7:5 6:4
- 22/09/26WTomas Farjat#775Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 6:2 7:6
- 11/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Genoa · QF1:6 6:7
- 10/09/26WFrancesco Passaro#153Challenger Genoa · R167:5 6:1
Tomas Barrios Vera
- 04/11/26LLautaro Midon#185Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R165:7 6:3 5:7
- 02/11/26WHenrique Rocha#99Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:4 7:6
- 29/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Guayaquil · R161:6 3:6
- 27/10/26WJuan Estevez#357Challenger Guayaquil · R326:2 7:6
- 19/10/26LNicolas Jarry#785Challenger Cali · R324:6 7:6 2:6
- 08/10/26LMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 6:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#261Challenger Antofagasta · R326:4 6:2
- 03/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Curitiba · SF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Curitiba · QF6:1 3:6 6:3
- 30/09/26WJuan Bautista Torres#314Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Juan Pablo VarillasTomas Barrios Vera
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Varillas | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 9–853% |
| Clay | 39–2759% | 23–2251% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–250% |
Head to head
J. Varillas 0–1 T. Barrios Vera
- 05/04/25Winner: T. Barrios Vera3:6 1:6
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