Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Kopp vs Cadenasso 2:0: result and our tips

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Sandro KoppATP #308Elo 1571clay 1567
2:0final7:6(2) 6:1
Gianluca CadenassoATP #183Elo 1804clay 1801

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: CadenassoLost66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Cadenasso won 8 of the last 10 matches; Cadenasso: 5 wins in a row

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: CadenassoLost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Cadenasso: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sandro Kopp34%
Gianluca Cadenasso66%

Elo: S. Kopp 21% · G. Cadenasso 79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Kopp19%
2:1 S. Kopp15%
2:1 G. Cadenasso23%
2:0 G. Cadenasso43%

First set

Sandro Kopp38%
Gianluca Cadenasso62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,500 matches

Games handicap

Gianluca Cadenasso −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Sandro KoppGianluca Cadenasso
0Aces1
3Double faults1
68%First serves in67%
65%First-serve points won61%
50%Second-serve points won29%
5/13Break points converted3/9
7/10Service games held4/9
61%Service points won50%
50%Return points won40%
78Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. KoppTourG. Cadenasso
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won38%38%43%
Service games held77%76%71%
Breaks of serve25%24%34%
Aces per service game0.260.24
Double faults per game0.200.23
Sets with a tie-break16%9%
Tie-breaks won5/175/10
Wins in straight sets76%54%
Matches in the sample4645

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sandro Kopp

Gianluca Cadenasso

Elo over the last year

Sandro KoppGianluca Cadenasso

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. KoppG. Cadenasso
Hard court3–538%0–0
Clay18–2047%26–1859%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.