Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Finalclaybest of three sets
Cadenasso vs Papoe 2:1: result and our tips
·
2:1final6:4 3:6 6:4
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso55%
Radu Mihai Papoe45%
Elo: G. Cadenasso 47% · R. Papoe 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 G. Cadenasso35%
2:1 G. Cadenasso20%
2:1 R. Papoe19%
2:0 R. Papoe26%
First set
Gianluca Cadenasso54%
Radu Mihai Papoe46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
Sample: 4,604 matches
Games handicap
Gianluca Cadenasso −1.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes18%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 21.5out · 29 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Radu Mihai Papoe | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 1 |
| 6 | Double faults | 0 |
| 57% | First serves in | 63% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 56% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 73% |
| 4/9 | Break points converted | 3/12 |
| 11/14 | Service games held | 11/15 |
| 61% | Service points won | 63% |
| 38% | Return points won | 39% |
| 92 | Total points won | 93 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Cadenasso | Tour | R. Papoe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 45% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 24% | 41% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.15 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.12 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 7% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/10 | 1/3 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 79% | |
| Matches in the sample | 44 | 19 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 17/10/26WMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Catania · SF6:2 6:3
- 16/10/26WMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Catania · QF7:5 4:6 7:6
- 15/10/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#545Challenger Catania · R167:5 6:4
- 13/10/26WKai Wehnelt#631Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 6:4
- 07/10/26LMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Palermo · R166:7 5:7
- 06/10/26WFilippo Moroni#811Challenger Palermo · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/10/26LVitaliy Sachko#175Challenger Bari · QF6:4 2:6 0:3
- 30/09/26WLorenzo Angelini#552Challenger Bari · R165:7 6:3 6:0
- 29/09/26WBenito Sanchez Martinez#895Challenger Bari · R326:3 6:1
- 22/09/26LM. W. Donald#416Challenger Genoa 2 · R323:6 6:4 5:7
Radu Mihai Papoe
- 17/10/26WFelix Gill#227Challenger Catania · SF6:4 7:5
- 16/10/26WZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Catania · QF6:4 6:2
- 14/10/26WLuca Potenza#559Challenger Catania · R166:3 6:4
- 13/10/26WMichele Ribecai#288Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:4
- 20/08/26LNorbert Gombos#362Challenger Prague · QF1:6 6:4 2:6
- 19/08/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#610Challenger Prague · R166:4 6:3
- 18/08/26WOriol Roca Batalla#304Challenger Prague · R326:7 7:5 7:5
- 17/08/26WM. Cerny#678Challenger Prague · Q26:2 6:3
- 16/08/26WJakub VrtilkaChallenger Prague · Q16:0 6:1
- 08/08/26LPyotr Nesterov#279Challenger Plovdiv 2 · SF5:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Gianluca CadenassoRadu Mihai Papoe
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Cadenasso | R. Papoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 25–1858% | 14–574% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 13/10/26WKai Wehnelt#631Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 6:4
- 15/10/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#545Challenger Catania · R167:5 6:4
- 16/10/26WMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Catania · QF7:5 4:6 7:6
- 17/10/26WMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Catania · SF6:2 6:3
Radu Mihai Papoe
- 13/10/26WMichele Ribecai#288Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:4
- 14/10/26WLuca Potenza#559Challenger Catania · R166:3 6:4
- 16/10/26WZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Catania · QF6:4 6:2
- 17/10/26WFelix Gill#227Challenger Catania · SF6:4 7:5