Challenger JinanChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Landaluce vs Simakin 2:0: result and our tips

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Martin LandaluceATP #73Elo 1807hard 1781
2:0final6:3 6:3
Ilia SimakinATP #154Elo 1855hard 1871

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 61%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Landaluce 15 of 20, Simakin 11 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Landaluce 12 of 20, Simakin 9 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martin Landaluce57%
Ilia Simakin43%

Elo: M. Landaluce 37% · I. Simakin 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Landaluce37%
2:1 M. Landaluce21%
2:1 I. Simakin17%
2:0 I. Simakin26%

First set

Martin Landaluce55%
Ilia Simakin45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,696 matches

Games handicap

Martin Landaluce −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Martin LandaluceIlia Simakin
3Aces2
2Double faults3
67%First serves in54%
64%First-serve points won58%
64%Second-serve points won42%
4/7Break points converted1/9
8/9Service games held5/9
64%Service points won51%
49%Return points won36%
71Total points won53

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. LandaluceTourI. Simakin
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won37%38%39%
Service games held77%76%79%
Breaks of serve23%24%27%
Aces per service game0.390.53
Double faults per game0.330.25
Sets with a tie-break14%17%
Tie-breaks won12/2416/28
Wins in straight sets53%46%
Matches in the sample6366

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Landaluce

Ilia Simakin

Elo over the last year

Martin LandaluceIlia Simakin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. LandaluceI. Simakin
Hard court17–2145%43–1278%
Clay10–856%3–827%
Grass3–443%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.