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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Legout vs Fenty 2:1: result and our tips

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Timo LegoutATP #343Elo 1787hard 1772
2:1final6:3 2:6 6:3
Andrew FentyATP #486Elo 1568hard 1558

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Legout 15 of 20, Fenty 17 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Lost56%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 54% → with the players' profiles 56%

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Legout 14 of 20, Fenty 16 of 20 (tour average 58%)

  • Match Winner: LegoutWon68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Legout won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 44%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Legout 12 of 20, Fenty 14 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Timo Legout68%
Andrew Fenty32%

Elo: T. Legout 77% · A. Fenty 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Legout45%
2:1 T. Legout22%
2:1 A. Fenty14%
2:0 A. Fenty18%

First set

Timo Legout63%
Andrew Fenty37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%64%35%

Sample: 5,093 matches

Games handicap

T. Legout −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Timo LegoutAndrew Fenty
3Aces4
3Double faults4
63%First serves in69%
57%First-serve points won60%
50%Second-serve points won44%
6/12Break points converted5/7
8/13Service games held7/13
55%Service points won55%
45%Return points won45%
83Total points won83

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. LegoutTourA. Fenty
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won44%38%37%
Service games held75%76%77%
Breaks of serve38%24%24%
Aces per service game0.130.42
Double faults per game0.260.31
Sets with a tie-break7%11%
Tie-breaks won2/43/8
Wins in straight sets89%93%
Matches in the sample2534

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Timo Legout

Andrew Fenty

Elo over the last year

Timo LegoutAndrew Fenty

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. LegoutA. Fenty
Hard court18–772%14–1745%
Clay0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Timo Legout

Andrew Fenty