ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Lehečka vs Jodar 1:2: result and our tips

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Jiří LehečkaATP #16Elo 2116hard 2083
1:2final6:4 6:7(2) 4:6
Rafael JodarATP #13Elo 2128hard 2062

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 62%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Lehecka 13 of 20, Jodar 13 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: LeheckaWon55%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Lehecka won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Jodar lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jiří Lehečka59%
Rafael Jodar41%

Elo: J. Lehečka 53% · R. Jodar 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Lehečka37%
2:1 J. Lehečka21%
2:1 R. Jodar19%
2:0 R. Jodar23%

First set

Jiří Lehečka56%
Rafael Jodar44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.548%52%39%
24.543%57%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,803 matches

Games handicap

Jiří Lehečka −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes48%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jiří LehečkaRafael Jodar
10Aces3
2Double faults0
52%First serves in66%
77%First-serve points won69%
58%Second-serve points won64%
1/6Break points converted1/4
15/16Service games held15/16
68%Service points won67%
33%Return points won32%
105Total points won108

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. LehečkaTourR. Jodar
Service points won68%62%65%
Return points won35%38%41%
Service games held87%76%81%
Breaks of serve18%24%30%
Aces per service game0.670.38
Double faults per game0.120.17
Sets with a tie-break23%11%
Tie-breaks won16/3311/23
Wins in straight sets60%65%
Matches in the sample5682

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jiří Lehečka

Rafael Jodar

Elo over the last year

Jiří LehečkaRafael Jodar

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. LehečkaR. Jodar
Hard court23–1462%42–1475%
Clay6–460%19–483%
Grass6–367%2–167%

Head to head

J. Lehečka 0–1 R. Jodar

  • 09/08/26Winner: Rafael Jodar3:6 3:6

Road through the tournament

Jiří Lehečka

Rafael Jodar

See also