Li vs Jones 2:1: result and our tips
·
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Li 78% · E. Jones 23%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 66% | 34% |
Sample: 1,764 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 20.5in · 27 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Ann Li | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 1 |
| 5 | Double faults | 1 |
| 51% | First serves in | 64% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 56% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 45% |
| 6/10 | Break points converted | 3/8 |
| 11/14 | Service games held | 7/13 |
| 62% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 38% |
| 96 | Total points won | 79 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Li | Tour | E. Jones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 42% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 63% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.43 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.41 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/19 | 7/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 32 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ann Li
- 16/10/26LIga Świątek#9WTA Wuhan · QF4:6 1:6
- 15/10/26WJanice Tjen#46WTA Wuhan · R166:1 7:6
- 14/10/26WAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Wuhan · R323:6 6:4 7:6
- 13/10/26WCamila Osorio#68WTA Wuhan · R646:1 3:0
- 07/10/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · R162:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WBelinda Bencic#14WTA Beijing · R326:4 6:3
- 03/10/26WAshlyn Krueger#55WTA Beijing · R646:4 6:2
- 04/09/26LLinda Nosková#8WTA US Open · R322:6 7:6 2:6
- 02/09/26WDonna Vekic#36WTA US Open · R645:7 7:6 6:4
- 31/08/26WAntonia Ruzic#91WTA US Open · R1287:5 6:1
Emerson Jones
- 18/10/26WTaylah Preston#87WTA Osaka · Q26:0
- 17/10/26WHeather Watson#384WTA Osaka · Q16:3 6:3
- 08/10/26LZhuoxuan Bai#203WTA 125 Suzhou · R166:1 3:6 6:7
- 06/10/26WMai Hontama#168WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:4 6:0
- 03/10/26LAlexandra Shubladze#136WTA 125 Jingshan · SF5:7 4:6
- 02/10/26WKyoka Okamura#246WTA 125 Jingshan · QF7:6 7:6
- 30/09/26WChenting Zhu#593WTA 125 Jingshan · R166:1 6:4
- 28/09/26WHaruka Kaji#286WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:2 6:4
- 22/09/26LYexin Ma#200WTA Seoul · R326:3 0:6 2:6
- 25/08/26LSuzan Lamens#245WTA US Open · Q15:7 7:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Li | E. Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1756% | 14–1352% |
| Clay | 9–660% | 0–10% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 1–325% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Ann Li
First match in this tournament.
Emerson Jones
- 17/10/26WHeather Watson#384WTA Osaka · Q16:3 6:3
- 18/10/26WTaylah Preston#87WTA Osaka · Q26:0