Li vs Tagger 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Li 55% · L. Tagger 45%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,427 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.0out · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Ann Li | Lilli Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 9 |
| 4 | Double faults | 5 |
| 77% | First serves in | 73% |
| 79% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 55% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 1/4 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 14/15 | Service games held | 15/16 |
| 74% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 26% |
| 96 | Total points won | 93 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Li | Tour | L. Tagger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 60% |
| Return points won | 42% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 37% | 34% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/18 | 7/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 74% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 52 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ann Li
- 22/10/26WZeynep Sonmez#64WTA Osaka · R166:3 6:1
- 20/10/26WEmerson Jones#127WTA Osaka · R325:7 6:0 6:3
- 16/10/26LIga Świątek#8WTA Wuhan · QF4:6 1:6
- 15/10/26WJanice Tjen#47WTA Wuhan · R166:1 7:6
- 14/10/26WAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Wuhan · R323:6 6:4 7:6
- 13/10/26WCamila Osorio#68WTA Wuhan · R646:1 3:0
- 07/10/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · R162:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WBelinda Bencic#20WTA Beijing · R326:4 6:3
- 03/10/26WAshlyn Krueger#44WTA Beijing · R646:4 6:2
- 04/09/26LLinda Nosková#9WTA US Open · R322:6 7:6 2:6
Lilli Tagger
- 21/10/26WTereza Valentova#87WTA Osaka · R167:5 6:3
- 19/10/26WLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Osaka · R326:3 6:3
- 13/10/26LNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Wuhan · R646:7 6:2 1:6
- 30/09/26LElena-Gabriela Ruse#60WTA Beijing · R1284:6 2:6
- 03/09/26LAmanda Anisimova#17WTA US Open · R643:6 6:3 1:6
- 31/08/26WTamara Korpatsch#59WTA US Open · R1286:0 7:6
- 24/08/26LYuliia Starodubtseva#54WTA Monterrey · R323:6 4:6
- 14/08/26LTalia Gibson#38WTA Cincinnati · R1286:4 1:6 5:7
- 13/08/26WRobin Montgomery#150WTA Cincinnati · Q26:3 6:1
- 11/08/26WLin Zhu#258WTA Cincinnati · Q13:6 6:1 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Li | L. Tagger | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1758% | 25–1268% |
| Clay | 9–660% | 6–746% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 0–20% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Ann Li
- 20/10/26WEmerson Jones#127WTA Osaka · R325:7 6:0 6:3
- 22/10/26WZeynep Sonmez#64WTA Osaka · R166:3 6:1
Lilli Tagger
- 19/10/26WLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Osaka · R326:3 6:3
- 21/10/26WTereza Valentova#87WTA Osaka · R167:5 6:3