Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Llamas Ruiz vs Martinez 0:1: result and our tips

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Pablo Llamas RuizATP #144Elo 1850hard 1791
0:1retired4:6 2:4
Pedro MartinezATP #130Elo 1760hard 1752

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.573%

Where the number comes from: market alone 75% → with the players' profiles 73%

Llamas Ruiz: 13 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pablo Llamas Ruiz62%
Pedro Martinez38%

Elo: P. Llamas Ruiz 56% · P. Martinez 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Llamas Ruiz40%
2:1 P. Llamas Ruiz22%
2:1 P. Martinez16%
2:0 P. Martinez23%

First set

Pablo Llamas Ruiz58%
Pedro Martinez42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,697 matches

Games handicap

Pablo Llamas Ruiz −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Match stats

Pablo Llamas RuizPedro Martinez
3Aces1
0Double faults1
82%First serves in67%
60%First-serve points won83%
50%Second-serve points won60%
0/1Break points converted2/4
6/8Service games held8/8
58%Service points won76%
24%Return points won42%
43Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. Llamas RuizTourP. Martinez
Service points won63%62%60%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held78%76%72%
Breaks of serve27%24%29%
Aces per service game0.210.14
Double faults per game0.110.22
Sets with a tie-break17%13%
Tie-breaks won14/258/19
Wins in straight sets66%69%
Matches in the sample5964

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Pedro Martinez

Elo over the last year

Pablo Llamas RuizPedro Martinez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. Llamas RuizP. Martinez
Hard court13–1154%12–957%
Clay23–874%20–2248%
Grass2–250%0–10%

Head to head

P. Llamas Ruiz 0–1 P. Martinez

  • 19/01/24Winner: Pedro Martinez4:6 2:6

Road through the tournament

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Pedro Martinez