Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying
Magadan vs McCormick 2:0: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Alan Magadan44%
Tristan McCormick57%
Elo: A. Magadan 69% · T. McCormick 31%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Magadan25%
2:1 A. Magadan18%
2:1 T. McCormick21%
2:0 T. McCormick36%
First set
Alan Magadan44%
Tristan McCormick56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,814 matches
Games handicap
T. McCormick −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes28%
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5in · 17 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Alan Magadan | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 5 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 57% | First serves in | 61% |
| 89% | First-serve points won | 61% |
| 70% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 3/6 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 9/9 | Service games held | 5/8 |
| 80% | Service points won | 57% |
| 44% | Return points won | 20% |
| 57 | Total points won | 35 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Magadan | Tour | T. McCormick | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.53 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/13 | 5/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 80% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 13 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alan Magadan
- 25/10/26WMario Andre GalarragaChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:3 6:4
- 19/10/26LDaniel Salazar Martinez#658Challenger Cali · Q23:6 1:6
- 18/10/26WJuan Miguel Bolivar IdarragaChallenger Cali · Q16:3 6:2
- 05/10/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#547Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 4:6
- 04/10/26WNicolas Bruna#990Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 6:3 7:6
- 20/08/26LColeman Wong#87Challenger Cancun · R164:6 6:1 6:7
- 20/08/26WAlex Hernandez#497Challenger Cancun · R324:6 6:0 6:4
- 19/08/26WRio Noguchi#214Challenger Cancun · Q26:3 7:6
- 18/08/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#190Challenger Cancun · Q16:4 7:6
- 27/07/26LAlex Hernandez#497ATP Los Cabos · Q23:6 6:7
Tristan McCormick
- 25/10/26WBernardo Munk MesaChallenger Guayaquil · Q17:5 6:3
- 18/10/26LJose Pereira#738Challenger Cali · Q11:6 4:6
- 09/07/26LFacundo Mena#193Challenger Bogota · R167:5 4:6 4:6
- 07/07/26WPedro Sakamoto#487Challenger Bogota · R327:6
- 16/02/26LStefan Kozlov#284Challenger Metepec · R323:6 7:6 4:6
- 10/02/26LRobert Strombachs#349Challenger Baton Rouge · R326:7 4:6
- 02/02/26LJoshua Sheehy#765Challenger Cleveland · Q27:6 2:6 2:6
- 01/02/26WDragos Nicolae Cazacu#714Challenger Cleveland · Q16:1 7:6
- 26/11/25LJuan Pablo Ficovich#366Challenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · R161:6 6:3 3:6
- 24/11/25WSalvador PriceChallenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · R326:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Alan MagadanTristan McCormick
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Magadan | T. McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–950% | 2–433% |
| Clay | 10–953% | 3–443% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alan Magadan
- 25/10/26WMario Andre GalarragaChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:3 6:4
Tristan McCormick
- 25/10/26WBernardo Munk MesaChallenger Guayaquil · Q17:5 6:3