Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Marti Pujolras vs Basile 2:1: result and our tips

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Alex Marti PujolrasATP #484Elo 1570clay 1576
2:1final6:4 1:6 6:3
Pierluigi BasileATP #514Elo 1634clay 1635

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alex Marti Pujolras47%
Pierluigi Basile54%

Elo: A. Marti Pujolras 42% · P. Basile 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Marti Pujolras27%
2:1 A. Marti Pujolras19%
2:1 P. Basile20%
2:0 P. Basile34%

First set

Alex Marti Pujolras47%
Pierluigi Basile53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,506 matches

Games handicap

Pierluigi Basile −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Alex Marti PujolrasPierluigi Basile
3Aces6
4Double faults3
64%First serves in57%
70%First-serve points won76%
56%Second-serve points won46%
3/8Break points converted3/6
10/13Service games held10/13
65%Service points won63%
37%Return points won35%
80Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. Marti PujolrasTourP. Basile
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won42%38%37%
Service games held70%76%77%
Breaks of serve31%24%24%
Aces per service game0.300.43
Double faults per game0.560.33
Sets with a tie-break19%23%
Tie-breaks won9/116/14
Wins in straight sets92%62%
Matches in the sample2626

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alex Marti Pujolras

Pierluigi Basile

  • 19/10/26WDmitry Popko#513Challenger Florence · Q26:4 7:6
  • 18/10/26WFederico Iannaccone#579Challenger Florence · Q16:3 6:2
  • 06/10/26LMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Palermo · R326:4 4:6 1:6
  • 01/10/26LMartin Krumich#269Challenger Bari · R163:6 1:6
  • 29/09/26WMax Wiskandt#378Challenger Bari · R326:7 7:6 6:3
  • 28/09/26WOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Bari · Q23:6 7:5 6:1
  • 27/09/26WKai Wehnelt#631Challenger Bari · Q15:7 6:4 7:6
  • 21/09/26LGiovanni Oradini#667Challenger Genoa 2 · Q26:4 3:6 1:6
  • 20/09/26WGuillermo TunasChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:0 6:2
  • 15/09/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#371Challenger Biella · R322:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Alex Marti PujolrasPierluigi Basile

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. Marti PujolrasP. Basile
Hard court0–10%1–325%
Clay13–1252%12–1055%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alex Marti Pujolras

Pierluigi Basile