Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Matsuda vs Zhukayev 0:2: result and our tips

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Koki MatsudaATP #475Elo 1550hard 1547
0:2final4:6 6:7(1)
Beibit ZhukayevATP #526Elo 1594hard 1575

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zhukayev: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won55%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 55%

    Zhukayev: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 45% → with the players' profiles 42%

Zhukayev: 6 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Koki Matsuda42%
Beibit Zhukayev58%

Elo: K. Matsuda 46% · B. Zhukayev 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Matsuda25%
2:1 K. Matsuda17%
2:1 B. Zhukayev21%
2:0 B. Zhukayev37%

First set

Koki Matsuda44%
Beibit Zhukayev56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%62%
20.565%35%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.552%48%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,886 matches

Games handicap

Beibit Zhukayev −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Koki MatsudaBeibit Zhukayev
9Aces15
3Double faults4
58%First serves in63%
74%First-serve points won80%
45%Second-serve points won44%
1/2Break points converted2/6
9/11Service games held10/11
62%Service points won67%
33%Return points won38%
70Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. MatsudaTourB. Zhukayev
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won36%38%35%
Service games held78%76%79%
Breaks of serve19%24%18%
Aces per service game0.510.83
Double faults per game0.170.32
Sets with a tie-break20%18%
Tie-breaks won14/188/15
Wins in straight sets57%71%
Matches in the sample3636

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Koki Matsuda

  • 25/10/26WGeun Jun Kim#919Challenger Seoul · Q17:6 6:4
  • 20/10/26LYi Zhou#280Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R321:6 3:6
  • 19/10/26WOmar Jasika#388Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
  • 18/10/26WMillen Hurrion#494Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
  • 06/10/26LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26LKeisuke Saitoh#478Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26LArthur Weber#403Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 2:6
  • 10/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#339Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R162:6 6:4 5:7
  • 08/09/26WMartin Borisiouk#867Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R327:5 7:6
  • 02/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Zhangjiagang · R163:6 2:6

Beibit Zhukayev

Elo over the last year

Koki MatsudaBeibit Zhukayev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. MatsudaB. Zhukayev
Hard court21–1657%13–1645%
Clay0–04–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Koki Matsuda

Beibit Zhukayev

See also