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ATP Almaty250Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Medvedev vs Atmane 2:0: result and our tips

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Daniil MedvedevATP #5Elo 2143hard 2134
2:0final6:4 6:4
Terence AtmaneATP #90Elo 1922hard 1914

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Medvedev 2-0Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Medvedev won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches, Atmane lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 32%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.5Won68%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 68%

    Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Medvedev 14 of 20, Atmane 18 of 20 (tour average 67%)

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon60%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 60%

    Medvedev: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniil Medvedev85%
Terence Atmane15%

Elo: D. Medvedev 78% · T. Atmane 22%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Medvedev64%
2:1 D. Medvedev20%
2:1 T. Atmane8%
2:0 T. Atmane9%

First set

Daniil Medvedev77%
Terence Atmane23%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.577%23%75%
19.568%32%67%
20.557%43%59%
21.549%51%53%
22.543%58%45%
23.535%65%39%
24.531%70%38%

Sample: 2,215 matches

Games handicap

D. Medvedev −4.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Daniil MedvedevTerence Atmane
5Aces4
3Double faults1
68%First serves in70%
91%First-serve points won66%
63%Second-serve points won45%
2/8Break points converted0/0
10/10Service games held8/10
82%Service points won60%
40%Return points won18%
68Total points won49

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MedvedevTourT. Atmane
Service points won65%62%66%
Return points won41%38%31%
Service games held84%76%82%
Breaks of serve28%24%15%
Aces per service game0.700.61
Double faults per game0.320.21
Sets with a tie-break16%22%
Tie-breaks won9/2715/28
Wins in straight sets71%62%
Matches in the sample6750

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniil Medvedev

Terence Atmane

Elo over the last year

Daniil MedvedevTerence Atmane

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MedvedevT. Atmane
Hard court37–1276%16–1847%
Clay5–456%4–736%
Grass6–367%1–420%

Head to head

D. Medvedev 2–0 T. Atmane

  • 17/06/26Winner: D. Medvedev6:4 6:4
  • 15/01/24Winner: D. Medvedev5:7 6:2 6:4 1:0

Road through the tournament

Daniil Medvedev

Terence Atmane