ATP Almaty250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Atmane vs Bellucci: prediction and tips

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Terence AtmaneATP #98Elo 1907hard 1898
-:-
Mattia BellucciATP #68Elo 1945hard 1919

Our tips

Tip in 4h 1m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Terence Atmane50%
Mattia Bellucci50%

Elo: T. Atmane 47% · M. Bellucci 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Atmane30%
2:1 T. Atmane20%
2:1 M. Bellucci20%
2:0 M. Bellucci30%

First set

Terence Atmane50%
Mattia Bellucci50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.575%26%60%
21.567%33%54%
22.561%39%46%
23.552%48%40%
24.545%55%38%
25.544%56%35%
26.539%61%30%

Sample: 5,196 matches

Games handicap

Terence Atmane −0.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes55%

tour average 39%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. AtmaneTourM. Bellucci
Service points won66%62%65%
Return points won31%38%37%
Service games held82%76%83%
Breaks of serve15%24%22%
Aces per service game0.610.57
Double faults per game0.210.25
Sets with a tie-break20%16%
Tie-breaks won13/2513/26
Wins in straight sets65%73%
Matches in the sample4969

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Terence Atmane

Mattia Bellucci

Elo over the last year

Terence AtmaneMattia Bellucci

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. AtmaneM. Bellucci
Hard court15–1845%28–1861%
Clay4–736%7–750%
Grass1–420%5–456%

Head to head

T. Atmane 1–0 M. Bellucci

  • 08/01/25Winner: Terence Atmane7:6 6:4

Road through the tournament

Terence Atmane

Mattia Bellucci