Challenger CaliChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Meligeni Alves vs Gomez 2:0: result and our tips

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Felipe Meligeni AlvesATP #396Elo 1677clay 1695
2:0final6:2 6:1
Juan Sebastian GomezATP #594Elo 1422clay 1453

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 19.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 69%

Meligeni Alves: 8 matches in a row under 19.5 games; Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Meligeni Alves 14 of 20, Gomez 6 of 16 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Felipe Meligeni Alves93%
Juan Sebastian Gomez7%

Elo: F. Meligeni Alves 80% · J. Gomez 20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Meligeni Alves79%
2:1 F. Meligeni Alves14%
2:1 J. Gomez4%
2:0 J. Gomez3%

First set

Felipe Meligeni Alves88%
Juan Sebastian Gomez12%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes18%
no82%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 55%market (no margin): 46%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.588%12%98%
14.577%23%96%
15.565%35%91%
16.554%47%84%
17.545%55%76%
18.537%63%68%
19.530%70%59%

Sample: 1,299 matches

Games handicap

Felipe Meligeni Alves −6.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes11%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 17.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Felipe Meligeni AlvesJuan Sebastian Gomez
5Aces1
1Double faults6
58%First serves in52%
79%First-serve points won57%
60%Second-serve points won31%
5/10Break points converted0/4
7/7Service games held3/8
71%Service points won44%
56%Return points won29%
64Total points won38

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. Meligeni AlvesTourJ. Gomez
Service points won61%62%58%
Return points won40%38%42%
Service games held75%76%68%
Breaks of serve27%24%30%
Aces per service game0.310.23
Double faults per game0.150.39
Sets with a tie-break14%8%
Tie-breaks won6/110/3
Wins in straight sets71%38%
Matches in the sample3516

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Juan Sebastian Gomez

Elo over the last year

Felipe Meligeni AlvesJuan Sebastian Gomez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. Meligeni AlvesJ. Gomez
Hard court2–340%0–20%
Clay15–1452%8–657%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Juan Sebastian Gomez