Milev vs Giustino 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 61%
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Milev 13 of 20, Giustino 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: GiustinoLost62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Giustino won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Giustino: 4 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Milev 8 of 20, Giustino 11 of 20 (tour average 36%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Milev 52% · L. Giustino 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 61% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,804 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.0out · 29 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Yanaki Milev | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 4 |
| 4 | Double faults | 4 |
| 53% | First serves in | 58% |
| 67% | First-serve points won | 67% |
| 53% | Second-serve points won | 32% |
| 6/11 | Break points converted | 3/13 |
| 12/15 | Service games held | 7/13 |
| 60% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 40% |
| 120 | Total points won | 100 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Milev | Tour | L. Giustino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/5 | 17/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 23 | 71 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yanaki Milev
- 19/10/26WMaximus Jones#488Challenger Florence · Q27:5 6:3
- 18/10/26WPavel Lagutin#390Challenger Florence · Q16:3 6:4
- 12/10/26LFederico Iannaccone#579Challenger Catania · Q26:7 6:4 6:7
- 11/10/26WMaxime Chazal#418Challenger Catania · Q16:4 7:6
- 10/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#146Challenger Palermo · SF2:6 1:6
- 09/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#325Challenger Palermo · QF7:5 6:3
- 08/10/26WBuvaysar Gadamauri#254Challenger Palermo · R166:2 7:6
- 06/10/26WIvan Gakhov#503Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
- 05/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#496Challenger Palermo · Q25:7 6:3 6:4
- 04/10/26WOscar Jose Gutierrez#701Challenger Palermo · Q16:2 4:6 6:1
Lorenzo Giustino
- 16/10/26LZsombor Piros#103Challenger Maia · QF3:6 6:1 6:7
- 14/10/26WMichael Vrbensky#668Challenger Maia · R167:5 7:5
- 13/10/26WAndrea Pellegrino#144Challenger Maia · R326:4 2:6 6:1
- 08/10/26LCarlos Sanchez Jover#325Challenger Palermo · R166:2 2:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WChristian Langmo#516Challenger Palermo · R326:4 6:1
- 01/10/26LM. W. Donald#416Challenger Bari · R167:6 3:6 1:3
- 29/09/26WJohn Sperle#660Challenger Bari · R327:5 6:7 6:4
- 25/08/26LGrigor Dimitrov#123ATP US Open · Q10:6 3:6
- 21/08/26LBenjamin Hassan#497Challenger Sion · SF6:3 2:3
- 20/08/26WDimitar Kuzmanov#360Challenger Sion · QF6:3 5:7 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Milev | L. Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 16–964% |
| Clay | 15–865% | 24–2153% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Yanaki Milev
- 18/10/26WPavel Lagutin#390Challenger Florence · Q16:3 6:4
- 19/10/26WMaximus Jones#488Challenger Florence · Q27:5 6:3
Lorenzo Giustino
First match in this tournament.