Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Milev vs Iannaccone 1:2: result and our tips

·

Yanaki MilevATP #619Elo 1729clay 1724
1:2final6:7(5) 6:4 6:7(2)
Federico IannacconeATP #587Elo 1606clay 1596

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yanaki Milev48%
Federico Iannaccone52%

Elo: Y. Milev 68% · F. Iannaccone 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Milev29%
2:1 Y. Milev19%
2:1 F. Iannaccone20%
2:0 F. Iannaccone32%

First set

Yanaki Milev49%
Federico Iannaccone52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.556%44%59%
20.551%50%52%
21.544%56%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,321 matches

Games handicap

Federico Iannaccone −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 36 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Yanaki MilevFederico Iannaccone
5Aces0
8Double faults2
58%First serves in80%
67%First-serve points won65%
48%Second-serve points won56%
5/12Break points converted4/13
13/17Service games held12/17
59%Service points won63%
37%Return points won41%
116Total points won125

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. MilevTourF. Iannaccone
Service points won59%62%61%
Return points won42%38%45%
Service games held72%76%72%
Breaks of serve31%24%39%
Aces per service game0.220.21
Double faults per game0.320.17
Sets with a tie-break6%10%
Tie-breaks won3/35/7
Wins in straight sets54%80%
Matches in the sample2031

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yanaki Milev

Federico Iannaccone

  • 11/10/26WSimone ConsoloChallenger Catania · Q16:0 6:1
  • 27/09/26LFederico Arnaboldi#478Challenger Bari · Q16:2 3:6 3:6
  • 22/09/26LLuka Mikrut#167Challenger Genoa 2 · R321:6 2:6
  • 21/09/26WMaximo Zeitune#561Challenger Genoa 2 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 20/09/26WTomaso CallaChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:0 6:1
  • 14/09/26LGiuseppe La Vela#543Challenger Biella · Q25:7 6:2 6:7
  • 13/09/26WLuca Wiedenmann#537Challenger Biella · Q16:3 6:4
  • 07/09/26LFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Genoa · Q23:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26WAlexander Weis#624Challenger Genoa · Q16:4 6:3
  • 04/09/26LValerio Aboian#347Challenger Plovdiv 3 · QF4:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Yanaki MilevFederico Iannaccone

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. MilevF. Iannaccone
Hard court0–07–370%
Clay13–765%13–862%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yanaki Milev

Federico Iannaccone