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Challenger MetzChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Moro Canas vs Catry: prediction and tips

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Alejandro Moro CanasATP #242Elo 1721hard 1695
-:-
Robin CatryATP #654Elo 1499hard 1505

Our tips

Tip in 10h 28m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Alejandro Moro Canas82%
Robin Catry18%

Elo: A. Moro Canas 75% · R. Catry 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Moro Canas62%
2:1 A. Moro Canas21%
2:1 R. Catry8%
2:0 R. Catry10%

First set

Alejandro Moro Canas76%
Robin Catry24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.550%51%54%
21.543%57%49%
22.537%63%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 2,718 matches

Games handicap

A. Moro Canas −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. Moro CanasTourR. Catry
Service points won63%62%65%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held75%76%81%
Breaks of serve27%24%24%
Aces per service game0.300.61
Double faults per game0.150.38
Sets with a tie-break21%18%
Tie-breaks won18/342/9
Wins in straight sets57%56%
Matches in the sample6820

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Robin Catry

  • 08/11/26LBenjamin KittayChallenger Orleans · Q14:6 7:5 5:7
  • 27/10/26LDino Prizmic#89Challenger Brest · R324:6 3:6
  • 26/10/26WCalvin Hemery#284Challenger Brest · Q26:7 6:3 6:4
  • 25/10/26WDimitar Kuzmanov#366Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:2
  • 12/10/26LNorbert Gombos#377Challenger Roanne · Q26:3 4:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WGabriel GomezChallenger Roanne · Q16:2 6:3
  • 07/07/26LYi Zhou#279Challenger Nottingham 3 · R324:6 3:6
  • 06/04/26LKarl Poling#446Challenger Mexico City · Q24:6 7:6 1:6
  • 05/04/26WMauricio Schtulmann GascaChallenger Mexico City · Q16:1 6:1
  • 31/03/26LBeibit Zhukayev#520Challenger San Luis Potosi · R326:7 6:1 4:6

Elo over the last year

Alejandro Moro CanasRobin Catry

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. Moro CanasR. Catry
Hard court14–1156%8–850%
Clay21–1953%1–233%
Grass2–167%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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