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ATP Basel500Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mpetshi Perricard vs Kovacevic 2:0: result and our tips

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Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardATP #148Elo 1790hard 1738
2:0final7:6(2) 7:6(6)
Aleksandar KovacevicATP #84Elo 1819hard 1804

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: YesWon59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 59%

A tie-break in recent matches: Mpetshi Perricard 10 of 20, Kovacevic 13 of 20 (tour average 39%); Kovacevic: 3 matches in a row with a tie-break

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 22.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 63%

    Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Mpetshi Perricard 12 of 20, Kovacevic 11 of 20 (tour average 46%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won49%

Where the number comes from: market alone 44% → with the players' profiles 49%

Mpetshi Perricard: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard44%
Aleksandar Kovacevic56%

Elo: G. Mpetshi Perricard 41% · A. Kovacevic 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Mpetshi Perricard25%
2:1 G. Mpetshi Perricard20%
2:1 A. Kovacevic21%
2:0 A. Kovacevic35%

First set

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard46%
Aleksandar Kovacevic55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 26.0 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 26.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 25.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
21.570%30%54%
22.563%37%46%
23.556%44%40%
24.549%52%38%
25.544%56%35%
26.542%58%30%
27.537%63%28%

Sample: 5,746 matches

Games handicap

A. Kovacevic −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes59%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 26.0out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardAleksandar Kovacevic
24Aces10
2Double faults2
63%First serves in69%
91%First-serve points won80%
70%Second-serve points won65%
0/1Break points converted0/1
12/12Service games held12/12
83%Service points won76%
24%Return points won17%
78Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. Mpetshi PerricardTourA. Kovacevic
Service points won68%62%66%
Return points won29%38%32%
Service games held85%76%83%
Breaks of serve11%24%13%
Aces per service game1.120.76
Double faults per game0.250.28
Sets with a tie-break33%28%
Tie-breaks won17/3422/42
Wins in straight sets40%61%
Matches in the sample3959

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Elo over the last year

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardAleksandar Kovacevic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. Mpetshi PerricardA. Kovacevic
Hard court8–1732%15–2241%
Clay3–443%7–944%
Grass4–357%1–517%

Head to head

G. Mpetshi Perricard 1–1 A. Kovacevic

  • 14/06/26Winner: G. Mpetshi Perricard6:3 6:4
  • 09/01/26Winner: A. Kovacevic6:7 6:4 3:6

Road through the tournament

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Aleksandar Kovacevic

See also