Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Nesterov vs Langmo 0:2: result and our tips

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Pyotr NesterovATP #298Elo 1670hard 1671
0:2final2:6 1:6
Christian LangmoATP #534Elo 1516hard 1486

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pyotr Nesterov69%
Christian Langmo31%

Elo: P. Nesterov 74% · C. Langmo 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Nesterov47%
2:1 P. Nesterov22%
2:1 C. Langmo14%
2:0 C. Langmo18%

First set

Pyotr Nesterov64%
Christian Langmo36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 54%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 4,789 matches

Games handicap

Pyotr Nesterov −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Pyotr NesterovChristian Langmo
4Aces7
2Double faults0
72%First serves in74%
51%First-serve points won77%
44%Second-serve points won58%
0/1Break points converted5/12
3/8Service games held7/7
49%Service points won72%
28%Return points won51%
45Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. NesterovTourC. Langmo
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won41%38%35%
Service games held75%76%81%
Breaks of serve30%24%18%
Aces per service game0.340.58
Double faults per game0.150.27
Sets with a tie-break13%20%
Tie-breaks won8/1412/24
Wins in straight sets61%78%
Matches in the sample4552

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pyotr Nesterov

Christian Langmo

Elo over the last year

Pyotr NesterovChristian Langmo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. NesterovC. Langmo
Hard court13–765%15–2339%
Clay15–1060%8–657%

Head to head

P. Nesterov 1–0 C. Langmo

  • 01/03/26Winner: Pyotr Nesterov3:6 6:4 6:2