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WTA 125 SopoRound of 32claybest of three sets

Ortenzi vs Torres Murcia 2:0: result and our tips

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Jazmin OrtenziWTA #187Elo 1586clay 1601
2:0finalrebuilt6:2 6:3
Maria Camila Torres MurciaWTA #979Elo 1101clay 1134

Match chances

Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jazmin Ortenzi94%
Maria Camila Torres Murcia6%

Elo: J. Ortenzi 94% · M. Torres Murcia 6%

from Elo (no market)

Set score

2:0 J. Ortenzi70%
2:1 J. Ortenzi18%
2:1 M. Torres Murcia6%
2:0 M. Torres Murcia5%

First set

Jazmin Ortenzi83%
Maria Camila Torres Murcia17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes25%
no75%

Total games

Expected total: 19.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.579%21%87%
16.568%32%79%
17.555%45%69%
18.547%53%60%
19.539%61%52%
20.534%66%46%
21.529%71%41%

Sample: 568 matches

Games handicap

J. Ortenzi −6.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Jazmin OrtenziMaria Camila Torres Murcia
1Aces0
3Double faults0
76%First serves in88%
74%First-serve points won36%
36%Second-serve points won86%
6/12Break points converted2/4
6/8Service games held3/9
65%Service points won42%
58%Return points won35%
63Total points won40

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. OrtenziTourM. Torres Murcia
Service points won54%56%51%
Return points won46%44%41%
Service games held57%63%52%
Breaks of serve41%37%28%
Aces per service game0.070.13
Double faults per game0.300.35
Sets with a tie-break8%8%
Tie-breaks won4/61/1
Wins in straight sets60%—
Matches in the sample305

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jazmin Ortenzi

  • 04/11/26LBianca Andreescu#100WTA 125 Cali · R162:6 3:6
  • 03/11/26WElizabeth Mandlik#237WTA 125 Cali · R327:5 1:6 6:3
  • 30/10/26LAlice Tubello#146WTA 125 Curitiba · QF6:2 2:6 3:6
  • 28/10/26WLourdes Ayala#661WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:0 6:2
  • 26/10/26WVictoria Bosio#325WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:2
  • 14/10/26LPolona Hercog#200WTA 125 Lisbon · R163:6 6:3 3:6
  • 12/10/26WBarbora Palicova#179WTA 125 Lisbon · R326:4 7:6
  • 17/09/26LPaula Badosa#57WTA Sao Paulo · R166:4 2:6 2:6
  • 16/09/26WChloe Paquet#330WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 6:2
  • 09/09/26LMary Stoiana#116WTA 125 Barranquilla · R323:6 2:6

Maria Camila Torres Murcia

  • 08/11/26LKatrina Scott#378WTA 125 Sopo · Q12:6 4:6
  • 02/11/26LLuisina Giovannini#186WTA 125 Cali · R323:6 0:6
  • 26/10/26LMaria Fernanda Navarro Oliva#662WTA 125 Querétaro · Q17:6 2:6 1:6
  • 07/09/26LNao Hibino#199WTA 125 Barranquilla · R324:6 1:6
  • 30/03/26LPanna Udvardy#87WTA Bogota · R321:6 6:1 0:6
  • 27/10/25LJazmin Ortenzi#187WTA 125 Cali · R322:6 1:6
  • 01/04/25LEmina BektasWTA Bogota · R320:6 3:6
  • 03/11/24LDaria KudashovaWTA 125 Cali · Q15:7 1:6
  • 30/03/24LSuzan Lamens#193WTA Bogota · Q10:6 3:6
  • 13/08/23LJasmin JebawyWTA 125 Barranquilla · Q12:6 6:1 0:6

Elo over the last year

Jazmin OrtenziMaria Camila Torres Murcia

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. OrtenziM. Torres Murcia
Hard court2–433%0–10%
Clay13–1057%0–40%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

J. Ortenzi 1–0 M. Torres Murcia

  • 27/10/25Winner: J. Ortenzi6:2 6:1

Road through the tournament

Jazmin Ortenzi

First match in this tournament.

Maria Camila Torres Murcia

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