Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Papoe vs Roca Batalla 0:2: result and our tips

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Radu Mihai PapoeATP #274Elo 1762clay 1766
0:2final4:6 1:6
Oriol Roca BatallaATP #304Elo 1658clay 1654

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: PapoeLost67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Papoe won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Papoe 2-0Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Papoe won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Roca Batalla lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Radu Mihai Papoe67%
Oriol Roca Batalla33%

Elo: R. Papoe 66% · O. Roca Batalla 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Papoe44%
2:1 R. Papoe23%
2:1 O. Roca Batalla15%
2:0 O. Roca Batalla18%

First set

Radu Mihai Papoe63%
Oriol Roca Batalla37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%25%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%46%
22.541%59%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,329 matches

Games handicap

Radu Mihai Papoe −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Radu Mihai PapoeOriol Roca Batalla
0Aces3
1Double faults0
65%First serves in70%
57%First-serve points won81%
32%Second-serve points won64%
1/5Break points converted4/7
4/8Service games held8/9
48%Service points won76%
24%Return points won52%
37Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. PapoeTourO. Roca Batalla
Service points won59%62%63%
Return points won45%38%40%
Service games held70%76%79%
Breaks of serve40%24%27%
Aces per service game0.140.31
Double faults per game0.110.14
Sets with a tie-break7%18%
Tie-breaks won1/37/17
Wins in straight sets79%70%
Matches in the sample2041

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Radu Mihai Papoe

Oriol Roca Batalla

Elo over the last year

Radu Mihai PapoeOriol Roca Batalla

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. PapoeO. Roca Batalla
Clay14–670%23–1856%

Head to head

R. Papoe 1–0 O. Roca Batalla

  • 18/08/26Winner: Radu Mihai Papoe6:7 7:5 7:5